NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	120		Excitement	8.1 [302]		MVP	Landry Shamet (PHI): +23.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	121		Comeback	1.1 [958]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): -23.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	25	57%	0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11	0.00	0.11	0.00	9	54%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.01	13	63%	0.13	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Darius Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	24	54%	0.04	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
Anthony Davis	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24	-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	13	36%	-0.11	6	-0.13	7	57%	-0.19

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.07	0.00	6	100%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	-0.00	7	93%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.11	-0.02	15	39%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	23	56%	0.17	7	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	16	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	18	55%	0.09	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.5	28.2	14.8	25.4	2.3	36.4	139.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.4%

PHI +11.4%

NOP -18.1%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +20.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	13.0	13.9	14.3	111.1	114.2	109.3
season	13.4	14.0		110.2	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		108.1	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.9	11.5	15.2	12.8	13.0
PHI	13.7	12.9	13.6	15.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-6	11	11.4	13.6	-2.17	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Darius Miller	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	0	-1	12.3	13.5	-1.18	12.8	14.5	-1.75
Nikola Mirotic	68	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-10	19	12.0	14.8	-2.88	14.0	13.6	0.38
Frank Jackson	26	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-5	9	13.8	12.8	1.02	15.2	13.5	1.68
Wesley Johnson	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-1	1	13.7	12.5	1.13	14.2	13.6	0.59
Jrue Holiday	90	89	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-8	15	12.8	14.4	-1.69	14.4	11.2	3.23
E'Twaun Moore	86	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	11	-23	13.7	10.5	3.19	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Anthony Davis	93	91	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.34	-7	6	-13	13.4	10.8	2.60	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Julius Randle	62	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	9	-19	13.5	12.3	1.20	13.7	14.1	-0.35

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	74	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-13	27	14.3	12.8	1.49	14.2	10.4	3.78
Amir Johnson	25	23	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-14	29	14.0	13.9	0.15	15.6	12.4	3.21
Jimmy Butler	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-3	7	14.1	13.5	0.60	13.6	11.7	1.92
Wilson Chandler	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-5	11	13.9	13.8	0.07	13.4	12.3	1.09
Landry Shamet	44	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-13	27	13.5	14.2	-0.70	14.4	12.2	2.28
Joel Embiid	75	78	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.44	-11	12	-23	13.4	15.1	-1.71	12.0	15.7	-3.64
JJ Redick	81	84	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.25	-7	8	-15	14.0	13.4	0.64	12.4	15.2	-2.85
Mike Muscala	34	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	9	-17	14.8	13.5	1.29	13.0	13.1	-0.10
Furkan Korkmaz	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	8	-15	14.2	13.8	0.41	9.8	13.5	-3.63
T.J. McConnell	43	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.20	-15	16	-31	12.9	14.6	-1.65	10.8	14.5	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%
VAN 103, SEA 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.95,1,0.98,1,1	93.1%
ORL 106, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.93,1	92.8%