NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	3.8 [1079]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (CHA): +16.5%
Charlotte Hornets	127		Comeback	1.2 [874]		LVP	Cory Joseph (IND): -7.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.04	9	91%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	8	94%	0.17	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	8	79%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	46%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Davon Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	14	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	13	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	92%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	2	133%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.07	8	71%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	26.2	15.4	27.8	0.6	26.6	120.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.7%

CHA +4.8%

CHA +4.1%

CHA +4.4%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.3	14.3	113.5	130.9	109.3
season	14.5	14.6		108.4	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.6		111.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	15.2	16.5	12.2	14.5
CHA	15.7	15.4	13.5	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	38	40	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-22	26	12.4	15.9	-3.54	15.9	14.9	1.09
Aaron Holiday	51	52	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-22	26	11.7	17.7	-5.99	15.9	14.6	1.24
Davon Reed	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	14.7	14.5	0.14	16.5	15.2	1.27
Kyle O'Quinn	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	14.7	14.5	0.14	16.5	15.2	1.27
TJ Leaf	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	14.7	14.5	0.14	16.5	15.2	1.27
Cory Joseph	54	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-14	10	12.6	17.0	-4.47	15.9	14.6	1.27
Doug McDermott	55	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-15	12	12.5	17.3	-4.86	16.0	14.5	1.51
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-15	12	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Tyreke Evans	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-3	-12	17.3	12.5	4.86	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Darren Collison	45	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.07	-22	4	-26	17.7	11.7	5.99	14.6	15.9	-1.24
Myles Turner	58	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.09	-24	6	-30	16.1	12.2	3.93	14.4	16.6	-2.14
Thaddeus Young	53	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.33	-33	15	-48	16.1	12.6	3.45	14.8	15.8	-1.02

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	54	55	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.22	28	-10	38	15.2	15.5	-0.32	16.7	11.6	5.10
Marvin Williams	44	44	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.09	23	-5	28	14.8	15.7	-0.86	16.7	12.7	3.97
Kemba Walker	51	51	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-3	24	14.5	16.2	-1.60	17.0	11.7	5.31
Nicolas Batum	42	43	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	1	16	14.8	15.7	-0.97	18.1	11.6	6.49
Cody Zeller	47	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	5	8	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.4	13.8	1.59
Frank Kaminsky	45	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	15	-12	16.0	14.7	1.21	12.8	16.1	-3.27
Dwayne Bacon	55	53	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	20	-22	14.9	15.9	-1.01	12.5	17.0	-4.56
Devonte' Graham	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	16.5	15.2	1.27	14.7	14.5	0.14
Tony Parker	48	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	17	-16	15.5	15.1	0.42	11.5	17.3	-5.86
Miles Bridges	53	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	23	-28	15.7	14.8	0.86	12.7	16.7	-3.97
Malik Monk	40	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	25	-32	16.8	14.2	2.58	11.6	16.5	-4.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 129, NOP 149	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 84, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 104, GSW 131	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%