NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	3.7 [1051]		MVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): +8.4%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.1 [827]		LVP	Doug Christie (SAC): -7.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	17	59%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	7	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	17	72%	0.16	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.01	-0.08	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.7	25.5	15.5	21.4	2.5	24.3	113.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.5%

NOH +1.2%

NOH +8.4%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	14.3	15.6	15.5	87.5	111.3	101.6
season	14.0	15.9		104.4	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	17.9	14.6	12.4	14.3
NOH	13.0	15.5	18.1	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	29	27	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.05	1	-25	26	16.2	13.4	2.74	17.0	15.0	1.92
Damon Jones	36	35	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.10	-1	-23	22	15.2	13.7	1.45	16.5	15.0	1.47
Jim Jackson	51	50	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.17	-5	-19	14	14.6	13.9	0.74	15.8	15.3	0.54
Mateen Cleaves	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	12.5	14.6	-2.10	16.8	15.3	1.48
Keon Clark	63	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-15	6	15.0	12.9	2.06	16.7	13.3	3.40
Vlade Divac	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-15	6	14.8	13.7	1.09	13.4	17.5	-4.16
Hedo Turkoglu	49	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	-2	-20	13.7	14.9	-1.20	15.6	15.6	0.01
Mike Bibby	60	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.10	-23	-1	-22	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Peja Stojakovic	62	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.16	-25	1	-26	13.8	15.1	-1.37	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Doug Christie	67	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.15	-25	1	-26	13.4	16.2	-2.74	15.0	17.0	-1.92

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	71	68	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.15	25	-1	26	15.1	16.8	-1.68	13.5	16.0	-2.51
P.J. Brown	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.13	24	0	24	15.5	15.7	-0.24	14.8	13.2	1.63
David Wesley	57	56	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	1	22	15.4	15.9	-0.55	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Jamaal Magloire	51	49	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	1	22	15.4	15.7	-0.31	14.4	14.1	0.22
George Lynch	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.19	23	1	22	15.1	16.7	-1.55	14.0	15.0	-1.04
Robert Traylor	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	20	-16	16.4	15.3	1.11	12.4	14.9	-2.52
Stacey Augmon	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	22	-20	16.1	15.4	0.66	12.4	14.8	-2.41
Bryce Drew	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	20	-16	16.6	15.5	1.14	14.2	14.3	-0.01
Jerome Moiso	40	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	23	-22	15.9	15.4	0.55	14.7	13.9	0.80
Elden Campbell	21	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	27	-30	15.0	15.7	-0.80	16.1	13.7	2.43
Courtney Alexander	34	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	29	-34	16.1	15.3	0.79	15.0	13.9	1.13
Robert Pack	26	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	25	-26	16.8	15.1	1.68	16.0	13.5	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, CHA 127	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
TOR 74, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
LAL 126, DEN 134	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%