NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	126		Excitement	4.4 [934]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +19.5%
Denver Nuggets	134		Comeback	1.4 [1134]		LVP	Darrell Arthur (DEN): -6.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	14	75%	0.13	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	14	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.07	21	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
MarShon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.02	-0.08	22	64%	0.28	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	11	83%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.02	0.07	20	70%	0.15	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	6	72%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	28.2	15.5	28.0	1.8	31.0	132.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +50.4%

LAL -6.6%

LAL -1.2%

DEN +6.2%

DEN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DEN	NBA	LAL	DEN	NBA
this game	12.6	13.2	15.1	112.5	120.7	105.2
season	14.0	14.0		102.9	104.5
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.2	13.5	12.7	12.0	12.6
DEN	12.2	11.3	13.0	16.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	27	27	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.06	4	-12	16	11.7	12.9	-1.15	12.6	13.4	-0.87
Robert Sacre	40	40	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.27	15	-23	38	12.7	12.6	0.09	13.5	13.0	0.48
Jordan Farmar	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-11	14	12.6	12.6	-0.01	13.6	12.9	0.64
Xavier Henry	72	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-16	24	12.1	13.5	-1.34	13.5	12.7	0.73
Ryan Kelly	78	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-11	14	12.3	13.4	-1.14	13.2	13.2	-0.05
Kent Bazemore	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	6	-20	12.8	12.5	0.31	12.9	13.4	-0.53
Kendall Marshall	63	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	2	-12	12.6	12.6	0.01	12.9	13.6	-0.64
Jodie Meeks	77	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-5	2	13.0	11.8	1.15	13.7	12.2	1.53
Wesley Johnson	43	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.13	-23	15	-38	13.8	11.9	1.87	12.7	13.6	-0.85
Pau Gasol	72	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.00	-23	15	-38	12.6	12.7	-0.09	13.0	13.5	-0.48

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	87	88	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.02	24	-16	40	12.7	15.0	-2.33	13.0	11.3	1.63
Timofey Mozgov	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.15	28	-20	48	12.0	14.8	-2.81	13.3	11.7	1.58
Ty Lawson	93	93	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	13.4	12.1	1.39	12.8	11.5	1.31
Randy Foye	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.16	25	-17	42	12.1	16.1	-4.04	12.9	11.9	0.95
Wilson Chandler	65	67	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-10	28	12.1	14.8	-2.64	13.1	11.9	1.22
Jan Vesely	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	13	-18	17.2	12.4	4.78	11.0	12.9	-1.93
Aaron Brooks	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.32	-13	21	-34	14.8	12.2	2.61	11.8	13.1	-1.35
Evan Fournier	53	52	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.39	-16	24	-40	14.6	11.9	2.66	11.9	13.3	-1.40
JJ Hickson	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.24	-15	23	-38	13.7	13.0	0.75	12.4	12.7	-0.38
Darrell Arthur	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.24	-16	24	-40	14.6	12.9	1.77	11.0	13.0	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 89, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NJN 73, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%