NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	73		Excitement	3.5 [1095]		MVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): +6.8%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.4 [856]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): -8.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	8	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	16	47%	0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.02	0.07	7	83%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	61%	0.05	2	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	43%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	26.6	18.5	26.4	2.5	27.5	128.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.3%

NYK +0.1%

NJN -5.7%

NYK +22.2%

NYK +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	19.1	13.1	15.5	83.0	110.9	106.4
season	16.0	13.8		106.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.1	19.8	18.7	18.7	19.1
NYK	11.2	13.8	13.4	14.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ager	29	30	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.06	5	-34	39	17.8	19.7	-1.85	14.4	12.4	2.03
Josh Boone	13	14	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-35	41	16.6	19.5	-2.88	15.6	12.6	3.04
Sean Williams	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.17	-6	-23	17	18.3	19.3	-0.99	13.9	12.8	1.03
Jarvis Hayes	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	-17	5	20.5	18.1	2.47	14.0	12.5	1.52
Bobby Simmons	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.28	-16	-13	-3	20.6	17.9	2.75	13.7	12.6	1.14
Trenton Hassell	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-19	9	18.3	19.5	-1.19	12.7	13.3	-0.53
Keyon Dooling	47	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-20	11	18.9	19.2	-0.28	12.1	14.4	-2.32
Ryan Anderson	61	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.23	-20	-9	-11	17.9	21.8	-3.91	13.0	13.3	-0.27
Yi Jianlian	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	-9	-11	20.5	18.4	2.05	12.1	13.5	-1.43
Brook Lopez	55	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.21	-29	0	-29	19.9	17.6	2.29	12.1	14.6	-2.43
Chris Douglas-Roberts	81	85	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.36	-34	5	-39	18.9	20.7	-1.79	13.0	13.6	-0.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	53	51	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.30	34	-5	39	12.3	14.2	-1.89	19.5	18.5	0.96
David Lee	50	47	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	7	15	12.2	14.1	-1.85	18.9	19.3	-0.47
Wilson Chandler	70	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	13	3	13.1	13.0	0.03	18.6	20.5	-1.97
Jared Jeffries	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.33	23	6	17	13.3	12.8	0.52	19.1	19.0	0.08
Nate Robinson	59	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.30	19	10	9	13.3	12.7	0.53	19.5	18.2	1.30
Al Harrington	39	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	20	-11	12.1	13.8	-1.72	18.9	19.2	-0.21
Larry Hughes	43	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.22	14	15	-1	13.5	12.7	0.88	20.8	17.6	3.21
Chris Wilcox	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	22	-15	14.1	12.2	1.85	19.3	18.9	0.47
Joe Crawford	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.17	6	23	-17	14.0	12.8	1.29	18.7	19.2	-0.52
Mouhamed Sene	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	13.1	13.1	0.02	14.9	19.7	-4.75
Quentin Richardson	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	34	-39	13.8	12.8	0.93	17.8	19.5	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 84, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
LAL 126, DEN 134	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%