inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 126 Excitement5.3 [791] MVPDante Cunningham (SAS): +20.5%
New Orleans Pelicans 140 Comeback2.6 [799] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -12.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dante Cunningham0.210,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.220.010.037136%0.221-0.0200%0.00
Bryn Forbes0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.210.000.028111%0.191-0.00250%-0.00
Marco Belinelli0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.00-0.01855%0.0500.00475%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.02661%0.051-0.03650%-0.04
Chimezie Metu0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02580%0.0210.0000%0.00
Derrick White0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.05425%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Drew Eubanks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02367%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Patty Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.021947%0.033-0.097100%0.04
Rudy Gay-0.090,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.001841%-0.003-0.095100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.011127%-0.091-0.03475%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.040.011675%0.1910.0000%0.00
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.150.020.001372%0.1700.003100%0.01
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.020.01781%0.1200.002100%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.002262%0.132-0.023100%0.01
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.011152%0.0510.001100%0.01
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.021368%0.145-0.12560%-0.02
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01764%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Jahlil Okafor00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cheick Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.827.314.428.52.329.6130.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +38.5%
SAS -2.9%
SAS -4.2%
NOP +15.2%
NOP +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASNOPNBASASNOPNBA
this game15.013.014.3123.5134.6109.3
season14.813.4111.7110.2
opponent14.214.4111.5110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.514.815.814.015.0
NOP13.913.413.611.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills28280.01-0.510.53-0.104-182214.415.2-0.8913.712.71.00
Derrick White30310.00-0.500.50-0.207-212812.416.1-3.6812.913.0-0.16
Drew Eubanks1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-202611.715.5-3.8112.913.0-0.06
Quincy Pondexter1415-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-202611.715.5-3.8112.913.0-0.06
Jakob Poeltl3435-0.04-0.460.43-0.247-212812.316.4-4.0613.212.90.37
Chimezie Metu2932-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-11813.315.7-2.4112.813.1-0.24
Rudy Gay5756-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-10615.913.91.9912.513.6-1.12
Dante Cunningham6568-0.27-0.23-0.030.08-12-2-1016.312.83.4813.012.90.18
LaMarcus Aldridge6261-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-162-1816.013.52.5113.112.80.36
Marco Belinelli5556-0.42-0.08-0.340.19-217-2815.015.00.0412.713.4-0.69
DeMar DeRozan6262-0.44-0.06-0.370.15-206-2616.213.22.9613.512.21.37
Bryn Forbes6061-0.510.01-0.530.19-2410-3416.113.52.5912.713.4-0.79

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
E'Twaun Moore61620.460.040.42-0.1019-52413.312.50.8015.614.01.56
Julius Randle57550.440.060.370.081221012.613.5-0.9314.315.8-1.50
Jrue Holiday66670.360.140.22-0.021311212.713.4-0.6516.013.03.00
Nikola Mirotic61600.340.160.17-0.011221012.913.1-0.1915.813.91.90
Frank Jackson54520.330.170.15-0.031221012.313.7-1.3914.715.3-0.55
Wesley Johnson35350.200.30-0.100.11311-813.912.51.4116.114.41.65
Anthony Davis68670.170.33-0.15-0.0377013.412.21.1215.713.62.17
Darius Miller52490.130.37-0.240.07212-1012.313.7-1.4214.115.9-1.81
Cheick Diallo20200.050.45-0.390.08-115-1613.113.00.1513.215.4-2.18
Ian Clark44410.030.47-0.450.23-721-2813.812.41.4112.916.4-3.47
Jahlil Okafor220.000.50-0.500.06-216-1813.013.00.023.015.2-12.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 69, ORL 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
ATL 93, CHA 1080.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
CLE 79, PHI 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%