NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	8.2 [291]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +47.5%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	46.4 [20]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -36.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.16	-0.02	10	70%	0.27	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17	0.03	0.15	0.00	5	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.04
Markelle Fultz	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.00	6	36%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
JJ Redick	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.09	0.10	-0.21	-0.02	13	79%	0.21	4	-0.30	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.00	-0.12	0.00	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28	-0.04	-0.18	0.07	20	43%	-0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.47	0.47	0.09	0.36	-0.02	9	83%	0.53	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	19	65%	0.25	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.07
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	13	59%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	27%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.36	-0.36	-0.11	-0.25	-0.00	12	37%	-0.10	4	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.4	14.5	23.7	1.7	37.6	131.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.3%

ORL +8.9%

PHI -9.9%

ORL +23.8%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	14.3	109.3	113.3	109.3
season	14.0	14.9		110.9	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		107.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	15.3	14.2	15.5	14.5
ORL	14.6	16.8	15.8	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	28	29	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-10	15	16.5	13.7	2.83	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Markelle Fultz	39	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-5	5	15.6	13.8	1.81	15.3	14.9	0.37
Amir Johnson	13	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.6	-0.83	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Wilson Chandler	46	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	15.0	14.0	0.94	16.5	13.7	2.81
JJ Redick	66	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.29	8	-13	21	14.3	14.9	-0.57	15.5	14.0	1.51
Mike Muscala	52	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	14.3	14.7	-0.38	14.1	16.2	-2.13
Joel Embiid	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.47	2	-7	9	14.6	14.0	0.69	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Landry Shamet	32	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	10	-25	14.5	14.5	-0.02	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Jimmy Butler	69	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	5	-15	13.7	16.5	-2.83	15.2	14.8	0.42
Ben Simmons	66	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	7	-19	13.8	16.0	-2.18	15.1	14.9	0.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	80	82	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.24	21	-16	37	14.9	15.8	-0.96	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Terrence Ross	60	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-8	21	14.9	15.3	-0.43	15.6	12.6	3.02
Jonathon Simmons	38	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	0	5	13.7	15.9	-2.19	15.8	13.7	2.10
D.J. Augustin	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	2	1	15.6	14.1	1.55	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Jonathan Isaac	32	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	0	5	14.2	15.4	-1.19	16.3	13.6	2.73
Aaron Gordon	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	5	-5	15.4	14.2	1.19	13.6	16.3	-2.73
Evan Fournier	59	58	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	8	-11	15.3	14.7	0.51	13.4	16.1	-2.75
Jerian Grant	33	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	14.8	15.2	-0.40	16.1	13.7	2.40
Wes Iwundu	41	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	10	-15	15.6	14.6	0.96	12.8	15.6	-2.78
Mo Bamba	19	16	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.11	-16	21	-37	15.2	15.0	0.13	14.7	14.4	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.42,1	89.3%
HOU 95, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	89.2%
SAC 93, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.58,1	89.1%