NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	8.6 [179]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +20.0%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	6.8 [448]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -42.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.13	0.02	0.11	0.01	26	48%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	78%	0.25	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.04
Ray McCallum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.42	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.42	0.07	-0.47	0.03	18	53%	-0.42	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.07

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	4	87%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.16	0.03	19	44%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	6	78%	0.12	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.06	0.03	13	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.21
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	30.6	15.5	31.5	2.4	32.0	138.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +85.1%

SAC -37.9%

SAC -3.9%

SAC -7.1%

SAS +13.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.1	100.0	102.2	105.2
season	15.4	15.0		104.5	109.8
opponent	15.0	14.7		101.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.9	14.3	15.1	19.6	16.0
SAS	14.1	13.4	14.9	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	28	27	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-4	6	16.2	15.9	0.27	15.5	14.8	0.76
Ray McCallum	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-4	6	16.9	15.8	1.18	15.7	14.8	0.89
Quincy Acy	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	2	-6	16.1	15.9	0.17	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Carl Landry	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	16.7	15.7	1.06	13.4	15.6	-2.16
Ben McLemore	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	15.5	16.4	-0.90	14.3	15.5	-1.10
Rudy Gay	72	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.51	7	-9	16	15.8	16.5	-0.69	15.3	14.0	1.28
Marcus Thornton	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	16.0	16.0	-0.07	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Jason Thompson	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.53	2	-4	6	15.7	16.7	-1.09	15.5	13.6	1.95
Isaiah Thomas	75	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	15.8	16.9	-1.18	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Derrick Williams	46	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.49	-7	5	-12	16.5	15.4	1.10	15.2	14.7	0.56

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	42	40	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.51	13	-11	24	14.5	15.4	-0.92	17.0	15.2	1.86
Tim Duncan	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	15.5	13.9	1.61	16.1	15.7	0.38
Boris Diaw	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	14.7	15.5	-0.86	15.4	16.9	-1.53
Matt Bonner	31	28	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-4	10	17.6	13.7	3.95	18.4	15.0	3.44
Tony Parker	65	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.45	-7	9	-16	15.8	13.1	2.68	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Nando De Colo	17	17	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-3	8	15.8	14.8	0.96	16.9	15.8	1.09
Shannon Brown	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	-3	8	12.7	16.0	-3.38	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Marco Belinelli	54	57	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	-5	12	13.9	16.5	-2.55	15.4	16.9	-1.56
Jeff Ayres	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	13.4	15.7	-2.27	14.9	16.5	-1.54
Cory Joseph	45	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.27	-14	16	-30	15.6	14.4	1.25	14.9	17.0	-2.17
Tiago Splitter	33	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	15.0	15.0	0.03	17.1	15.5	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	91.0%
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	90.7%
DEN 103, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.29,0.69,0.96,1	90.5%