NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	10.0 [93]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (PHI): +35.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	12.2 [148]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -30.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.08	0.28	0.00	8	89%	0.43	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Markelle Fultz	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.12	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	67%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jonah Bolden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02	0.12	-0.12	0.03	12	80%	0.11	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	15	60%	0.14	6	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	13	19%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31	-0.20	-0.14	-0.03	15	35%	-0.14	6	-0.16	10	60%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.07	0.26	0.00	14	61%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	11	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.16	-0.11	0.01	24	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	9	52%	0.00	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.19	0.02	21	41%	-0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	0.3	26.8	14.5	25.2	2.0	30.0	2.4	18.6	144.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -26.6%

PHI -1.0%

MEM +26.5%

MEM +60.3%

PHI -9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	16.5	14.3	101.0	105.7	109.3
season	14.0	15.4		110.9	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.1		107.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	11.9	12.3	14.2	16.0	15.4	13.6
MEM	15.3	15.8	17.7	18.3	14.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonah Bolden	31	30	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.09	11	-17	28	13.7	13.6	0.13	14.1	17.4	-3.32
Furkan Korkmaz	44	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	14.0	13.4	0.68	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Joel Embiid	81	80	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-10	14	12.9	16.1	-3.16	16.0	18.0	-1.96
Markelle Fultz	50	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	12.7	14.5	-1.73	16.4	16.6	-0.23
T.J. McConnell	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-9	12	14.3	12.5	1.76	16.7	16.0	0.69
Amir Johnson	24	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	4	-14	16.1	12.9	3.16	18.0	16.0	1.96
JJ Redick	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.2	14.5	-1.30	15.8	17.9	-2.18
Landry Shamet	83	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.28	-13	7	-20	13.8	13.0	0.88	17.3	13.7	3.61
Ben Simmons	74	76	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.42	-17	11	-28	13.6	13.7	-0.13	17.4	14.1	3.32

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	82	81	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.33	19	-13	32	17.2	14.0	3.21	13.9	12.7	1.22
Kyle Anderson	67	65	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-3	12	16.6	16.2	0.40	13.3	14.2	-0.85
Garrett Temple	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-3	12	16.7	16.1	0.62	14.2	12.3	1.88
Marc Gasol	80	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-5	16	17.9	12.0	5.99	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Shelvin Mack	64	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	8	-10	16.2	16.9	-0.74	13.4	14.0	-0.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-1	8	15.2	18.5	-3.35	13.1	14.5	-1.42
Ivan Rabb	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	15.3	16.6	-1.35	11.7	13.9	-2.15
Dillon Brooks	18	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	13.6	17.1	-3.52	14.2	13.5	0.62
MarShon Brooks	35	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.17	-1	7	-8	17.4	16.0	1.37	13.8	13.6	0.25
Wayne Selden	36	36	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	21	-36	14.7	17.4	-2.71	14.2	13.4	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.29,0.1,0.31,0.55,0.33,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.85,0.92,1	88.4%
HOU 120, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.95,0.85,1	87.6%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,1	87.6%