NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	6.6 [540]		MVP	Willy Hernangomez (CHA): +14.8%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	2.0 [1016]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -16.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	12	59%	0.17	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Poythress	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.04	9	86%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.04	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Tyler Dorsey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	11	55%	0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	19	45%	-0.02	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	2	112%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.04	-0.05	7	71%	0.12	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	14	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	22	63%	0.18	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.05	-0.05	5	40%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	28.6	15.4	27.9	1.8	30.2	134.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.6%

ATL -4.1%

CHA +14.7%

CHA +22.0%

ATL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	13.4	14.3	96.2	105.6	109.3
season	13.6	14.6		107.2	110.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		111.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	14.7	11.9	12.8	13.6
CHA	12.4	12.6	14.7	13.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Dorsey	16	16	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-17	23	13.5	13.7	-0.16	11.7	13.7	-2.03
Jeremy Lin	39	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-15	19	13.7	13.6	0.10	13.4	13.4	-0.06
Alex Len	45	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	13.5	13.7	-0.17	12.9	13.8	-0.88
Vince Carter	49	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-10	9	13.9	13.4	0.42	13.1	13.7	-0.55
Omari Spellman	39	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	12.6	14.2	-1.65	13.5	13.4	0.10
Dewayne Dedmon	38	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-8	5	14.4	13.2	1.23	14.2	12.9	1.30
Kevin Huerter	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	13.5	13.8	-0.30	13.2	13.9	-0.73
Kent Bazemore	62	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	12.9	14.7	-1.76	13.9	12.7	1.15
Alex Poythress	40	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	13.8	13.5	0.35	13.2	13.5	-0.36
Trae Young	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	4	-19	13.6	13.7	-0.10	13.4	13.4	0.06
DeAndre' Bembry	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	4	-19	14.4	12.5	1.91	13.8	12.8	1.02

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	0	11	13.5	13.3	0.25	14.0	13.2	0.77
Nicolas Batum	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	0	11	13.1	14.2	-1.12	13.7	13.5	0.14
Tony Parker	46	46	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-1	13	13.7	13.2	0.50	14.0	13.4	0.61
Kemba Walker	80	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	2	7	13.8	12.3	1.54	13.4	14.3	-0.89
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	13.3	13.5	-0.13	14.5	13.2	1.31
Marvin Williams	63	62	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	13.3	13.6	-0.34	12.8	14.8	-2.03
Malik Monk	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	12.9	13.9	-1.01	13.1	14.1	-0.96
Willy Hernangomez	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	14.0	13.1	0.92	12.9	14.0	-1.02
Miles Bridges	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	14	-17	13.2	13.6	-0.40	15.1	12.7	2.46
Jeremy Lamb	52	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	14	-17	13.5	13.4	0.10	13.4	13.9	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 77, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
ORL 99, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.1%
CHA 96, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%