NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	15.2 [9]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +34.2%
New York Knicks	115		Comeback	4.0 [280]		LVP	Noah Vonleh (NYK): -35.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.38,0.32,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.06,0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.04,-0.2,0.34	0.06	0.29	0.01	25	64%	1.01	8	-0.67	14	79%	-0.04
Chandler Hutchison	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Cristiano Felicio	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.18	0.01	15	48%	0.02	4	-0.26	1	100%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.03	-0.30	-0.00	11	35%	-0.32	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	15	54%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.10	-0.00	16	48%	0.36	2	-0.27	1	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.01	14	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.19	0.00	14	64%	0.11	4	-0.26	8	87%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.24	-0.00	18	38%	-0.19	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.10	-0.27	-0.01	10	42%	-0.01	4	-0.35	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.2	14.7	31.3	2.4	31.6	2.3	16.3	3.4	14.1	171.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.9%

CHI +31.5%

NYK -15.3%

NYK -5.8%

CHI +11.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	14.3	99.1	99.1	109.3
season	14.6	14.5		104.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.5	15.4	13.2	16.5	12.8	14.4
NYK	17.1	14.0	15.0	16.2	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	80	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-10	21	14.5	14.4	0.16	16.0	14.2	1.83
Zach LaVine	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	-2	5	14.4	15.0	-0.62	16.0	12.3	3.73
Robin Lopez	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	0	1	15.0	14.3	0.68	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Jabari Parker	86	86	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-5	11	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Wendell Carter Jr.	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-10	21	14.4	14.5	-0.09	17.6	14.1	3.49
Chandler Hutchison	31	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	6	-11	14.5	14.5	0.04	15.9	15.2	0.72
Justin Holiday	76	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	-1	3	14.5	14.4	0.15	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Antonio Blakeney	41	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	5	-9	14.9	14.2	0.68	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Ryan Arcidiacono	37	38	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	11	-21	14.4	14.5	-0.16	14.2	16.0	-1.83
Cristiano Felicio	41	41	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	12	-23	14.1	14.7	-0.52	12.9	16.8	-3.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	57	58	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.58	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.2	2.38	14.8	14.2	0.68
Mario Hezonja	73	74	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.17	2	-3	5	14.3	17.2	-2.89	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Emmanuel Mudiay	72	69	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-12	23	15.0	16.1	-1.10	14.7	14.2	0.54
Lance Thomas	12	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	13.1	15.7	-2.57	14.7	14.5	0.27
Kevin Knox	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	0	-1	13.1	15.6	-2.50	17.2	14.2	2.97
Trey Burke	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.40	7	-8	15	14.7	15.8	-1.09	14.6	14.4	0.22
Allonzo Trier	82	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	0	-1	16.1	13.7	2.34	14.7	13.9	0.81
Frank Ntilikina	31	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	16	-33	16.1	15.1	0.92	13.9	14.7	-0.89
Damyean Dotson	82	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.0	0.59	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Enes Kanter	81	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.82	7	-8	15	15.5	15.2	0.27	14.3	14.9	-0.52
Mitchell Robinson	22	22	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	8	-17	16.7	15.1	1.60	13.4	14.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.2,0.27,0.45,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.61,0.37,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.76,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.26,0	88.4%
LAL 101, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.04,0,0	87.9%
PHX 88, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0.16,0	87.9%