NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	7.9 [271]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +23.8%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.5 [637]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -27.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.00	8	89%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.12	-0.00	0.18	0.05	11	58%	0.21	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.13	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	46%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	55%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	9	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.21	0.02	13	58%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	17	46%	-0.05	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.14,-0.27	-0.27	-0.03	-0.26	-0.02	19	44%	-0.22	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.17	-0.11	0.00	10	18%	-0.17	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.2	27.6	16.3	23.5	1.8	36.2	131.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +76.6%

DET -11.4%

DET -11.6%

DET -8.9%

PHX +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DET	NBA	PHX	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	16.1	15.1	94.6	91.5	104.2
season	14.4	15.7		103.7	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.0	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	15.2	14.7	16.1	14.7
DET	15.6	16.1	16.7	15.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	42	44	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.64	7	-5	12	15.5	14.1	1.32	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Eric Bledsoe	70	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-3	8	14.6	15.0	-0.41	16.1	15.9	0.20
Markieff Morris	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	1	0	14.3	15.5	-1.26	16.3	15.6	0.73
PJ Tucker	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	1	0	14.9	14.5	0.44	15.7	16.6	-0.84
Miles Plumlee	47	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	-3	8	13.9	15.6	-1.78	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Isaiah Thomas	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	3	-4	16.1	13.5	2.58	16.3	15.9	0.36
Goran Dragic	61	62	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	4	-6	14.0	16.0	-1.98	16.3	15.7	0.62
TJ Warren	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	13.8	14.9	-1.03	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Marcus Morris	44	45	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	14.4	15.0	-0.57	15.9	16.2	-0.38
Alex Len	30	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	9	-16	16.1	14.1	2.07	16.3	16.0	0.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	40	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-10	18	16.2	16.0	0.24	15.7	14.1	1.61
Caron Butler	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	0	-2	16.1	16.1	0.01	13.6	15.7	-2.18
Brandon Jennings	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-8	14	16.2	15.7	0.45	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Josh Smith	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	15.7	16.5	-0.81	13.6	15.9	-2.25
Spencer Dinwiddie	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	2	-6	16.1	16.1	0.02	16.2	14.2	2.03
Andre Drummond	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-3	4	16.2	16.0	0.21	16.1	13.4	2.69
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-5	8	16.0	16.1	-0.12	13.7	16.4	-2.66
D.J. Augustin	44	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	3	-8	15.8	16.3	-0.46	14.9	14.6	0.38
Kyle Singler	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	4	-10	16.2	16.0	0.24	16.9	13.7	3.20
Greg Monroe	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	2	-6	16.2	15.8	0.40	14.1	16.3	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.4%
HOU 102, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
DAL 91, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.09,0	93.3%