NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	8.0 [235]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (DAL): +13.6%
Denver Nuggets	88		Comeback	1.5 [374]		LVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): -41.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	11	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Danny Fortson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	2	91%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	6	14%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	18	54%	0.04	4	-0.27	5	100%	0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	20	64%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.08
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	12	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.09	0.00	18	27%	-0.23	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.41	-0.41	-0.12	-0.31	-0.01	10	15%	-0.39	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	31.2	15.5	24.2	2.7	38.8	136.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +58.9%

DAL +16.3%

DEN -7.4%

DEN -21.0%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.7	97.8	93.6	100.5
season	14.6	14.9		109.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.9	15.7	15.4	17.5	15.6
DEN	16.7	14.3	14.0	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	71	71	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-8	19	15.4	16.0	-0.61	14.6	17.1	-2.52
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-6	15	15.2	17.2	-1.98	16.0	12.0	4.04
Shawn Bradley	34	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-3	9	14.1	16.5	-2.40	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Michael Finley	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	3	-3	16.0	14.4	1.58	15.8	13.3	2.49
Antawn Jamison	63	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	-1	5	16.1	14.5	1.60	14.4	17.1	-2.77
Antoine Walker	67	67	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.48	-11	14	-25	16.4	13.5	2.94	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Marquis Daniels	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	14.6	16.0	-1.50	13.7	15.9	-2.15
Danny Fortson	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	0	3	16.0	15.4	0.64	14.1	15.6	-1.53
Steve Nash	18	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	14.7	15.8	-1.06	17.8	14.6	3.22
Josh Howard	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	10	-17	16.4	15.4	0.93	18.5	14.7	3.76

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	5	5	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	17.6	15.1	2.51	19.0	15.4	3.61
Marcus Camby	70	70	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-6	9	15.9	13.2	2.65	16.1	13.9	2.27
Ryan Bowen	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	11.0	15.4	-4.36	21.0	15.5	5.54
Rodney White	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-5	7	14.2	15.9	-1.66	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Chris Andersen	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	13.6	15.8	-2.27	14.2	16.1	-1.83
Andre Miller	77	76	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	15.7	12.9	2.79	16.2	12.6	3.59
Voshon Lenard	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	15.9	12.6	3.31	15.6	15.5	0.07
Earl Boykins	36	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	13.1	16.5	-3.38	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Carmelo Anthony	71	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	3	-9	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.2	16.6	-1.34
Nene	70	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	10	-23	15.1	15.5	-0.32	15.2	16.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.9%
PHX 88, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0.16,0	93.3%
BOS 86, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	93.2%