NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	7.0 [428]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.1%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.5 [786]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -26.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.02	20	63%	0.16	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	12	63%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	25	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Robert Horry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	14	63%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	8	63%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	14	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	16	48%	-0.11	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	17	43%	-0.22	1	-0.04	10	70%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	29.6	18.4	25.9	2.7	41.0	146.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.3%

DAL -6.7%

LAL +28.8%

DAL -11.1%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	15.6	104.1	97.9	102.3
season	15.3	14.8		106.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	17.1	14.8	14.7	15.7
DAL	14.3	15.0	14.0	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	75	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-10	27	16.6	12.6	4.00	15.0	11.0	4.04
Kobe Bryant	82	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-1	9	15.2	18.1	-2.90	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Robert Horry	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-4	15	15.0	17.3	-2.28	14.6	13.1	1.51
Derek Fisher	63	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-3	13	14.6	17.7	-3.16	14.2	14.1	0.15
Rick Fox	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	15.6	15.8	-0.24	13.2	15.8	-2.59
Devean George	42	40	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	7	-7	14.2	16.8	-2.63	14.6	13.8	0.80
Mitch Richmond	24	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	17.9	15.0	2.92	15.4	13.7	1.62
Lindsey Hunter	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	13	-19	17.8	14.9	2.91	13.2	14.5	-1.24
Mark Madsen	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	12	-17	13.4	16.0	-2.58	12.8	14.3	-1.51
Samaki Walker	33	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	15	-23	17.9	14.5	3.38	12.9	14.8	-1.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	16	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	15.0	14.0	1.01	17.6	15.2	2.37
Adrian Griffin	51	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-8	9	13.8	14.5	-0.71	15.3	16.1	-0.73
Johnny Newman	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-6	5	15.8	14.0	1.79	16.5	15.6	0.89
Danny Manning	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.4	14.2	-0.78	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Tim Hardaway	36	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-1	-5	13.4	14.6	-1.23	13.5	17.2	-3.71
Wang Zhi-zhi	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-9	11	13.2	15.2	-2.08	14.9	16.5	-1.61
Juwan Howard	77	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-4	1	14.3	13.7	0.59	16.5	12.3	4.18
Steve Nash	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	13.9	15.0	-1.13	16.2	14.0	2.11
Michael Finley	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	1	-9	14.8	12.0	2.78	16.2	14.1	2.16
Dirk Nowitzki	85	85	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.36	-11	4	-15	14.5	11.3	3.26	15.4	17.6	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.13,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.9%
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.9%
SAC 91, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.04,0	92.6%