NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	6.2 [574]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +9.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	2.0 [698]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -21.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	7	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	14	43%	0.07	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Steve Blake	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.05
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06
Shannon Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.02	17	46%	-0.01	6	-0.20	7	100%	0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.04	0.06	19	55%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.05	14	25%	-0.09	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	30.2	16.5	32.3	2.5	28.2	136.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.5%

MEM -8.1%

LAL +10.2%

LAL +3.1%

LAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.5	103.3	93.3	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		108.8	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	16.6	17.5	17.5	16.5
MEM	14.1	15.4	16.8	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	16.4	16.7	-0.33	15.3	15.9	-0.66
Metta World Peace	72	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-2	13	16.5	16.3	0.18	15.5	15.8	-0.35
Pau Gasol	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	16.2	17.5	-1.29	15.5	15.7	-0.27
Derek Fisher	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	16.7	15.9	0.80	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	71	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	13	-17	17.0	14.4	2.67	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Shannon Brown	28	27	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	4	1	15.5	16.9	-1.37	16.3	15.2	1.05
Andrew Bynum	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	7	-5	17.0	15.7	1.31	15.9	15.0	0.85
Steve Blake	28	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	15.9	16.7	-0.80	15.6	15.5	0.05
Luke Walton	9	9	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	3	3	14.7	16.7	-2.01	17.1	15.3	1.77

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hasheem Thabeet	3	3	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-14	19	12.7	15.6	-2.95	26.7	16.1	10.54
Xavier Henry	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	12.0	15.6	-3.56	23.0	16.4	6.60
Greivis Vasquez	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-8	7	15.6	15.5	0.10	14.0	17.1	-3.14
Tony Allen	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	15.7	15.4	0.27	14.9	17.8	-2.85
Darrell Arthur	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	0	-9	16.2	15.3	0.89	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Rudy Gay	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-6	3	15.5	15.5	-0.01	16.8	14.6	2.17
Zach Randolph	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	15.5	15.8	-0.33	16.6	15.7	0.97
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	15.3	16.3	-0.94	17.1	14.0	3.14
Sam Young	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	1	-11	15.5	15.5	0.08	16.7	15.9	0.84
Marc Gasol	75	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	1	-11	15.6	15.2	0.39	16.3	17.5	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.3%
PHI 94, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0	93.3%
WAS 99, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%