NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	110		Excitement	3.8 [1071]		MVP	Juancho Hernangomez (DEN): +12.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	3.1 [643]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -9.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juancho Hernangomez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	10	85%	0.13	2	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	9	73%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jamal Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	31%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Lydon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	14	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	13	48%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	52%	-0.05	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	30.7	14.6	23.6	2.3	27.5	123.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +41.0%

CLE -2.6%

DEN +5.8%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	14.3	122.2	102.2	109.3
season	14.8	15.5		112.0	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.6		116.5	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.4	11.9	18.1	16.2	15.8
CLE	15.3	18.1	17.9	14.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	57	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.09	18	1	17	14.9	17.3	-2.36	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Gary Harris	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	5	9	15.0	16.9	-1.93	17.3	15.1	2.17
Jamal Murray	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	9	1	15.7	15.9	-0.16	16.9	16.0	0.86
Nikola Jokic	42	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	10	-1	15.3	16.2	-0.83	17.8	15.2	2.64
Paul Millsap	39	37	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	8	3	15.8	15.8	-0.02	17.3	15.8	1.53
Malik Beasley	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	10	-1	15.8	15.7	0.14	15.7	17.2	-1.51
Trey Lyles	46	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.15	10	9	1	15.2	16.4	-1.24	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Mason Plumlee	40	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.33	16	3	13	15.0	16.4	-1.36	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Torrey Craig	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	18	-17	18.0	14.6	3.39	17.7	15.7	1.95
Monte Morris	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.08	5	14	-9	16.3	15.3	1.04	15.4	17.3	-1.93
DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	21.4	15.4	5.95	10.7	16.7	-5.92
Tyler Lydon	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	21.9	15.2	6.69	8.7	17.1	-8.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ante Zizic	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	9.9	17.0	-7.17	21.2	15.2	6.05
Kyle Korver	32	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-17	15	14.9	17.3	-2.39	17.4	14.8	2.61
Jordan Clarkson	40	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.27	-13	-6	-7	16.1	16.6	-0.46	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Larry Nance Jr.	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-9	-1	16.4	16.4	0.07	14.7	16.5	-1.79
David Nwaba	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-18	17	14.1	16.9	-2.83	19.6	14.9	4.70
Collin Sexton	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-10	1	15.1	17.9	-2.78	15.2	16.5	-1.35
George Hill	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-7	-5	18.1	14.9	3.16	16.4	15.3	1.09
Cedi Osman	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-8	-3	17.0	15.4	1.65	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Rodney Hood	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-4	-11	17.4	15.0	2.41	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Sam Dekker	63	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-7	-5	16.5	16.1	0.41	15.7	15.9	-0.19
Tristan Thompson	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	-2	-15	17.3	15.2	2.13	15.2	16.7	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIL 117, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 116, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%