NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	3.7 [1089]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +8.9%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	3.4 [395]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -8.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	13	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.00	0.13	19	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	14	47%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	9	35%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	52%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	74%	0.07	5	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	9	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	21%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	48%	-0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	26.1	16.0	29.3	2.3	28.3	130.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +23.8%

DET -4.2%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +24.2%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	15.0	15.4	121.9	94.7	104.1
season	14.7	15.7		101.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.4	18.6	14.2	15.0	15.1
DET	14.3	15.0	15.2	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.35	27	0	27	14.6	16.4	-1.83	15.4	14.1	1.37
John Henson	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	6	15	16.5	13.8	2.65	15.7	14.3	1.39
Beno Udrih	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	9	9	16.3	13.9	2.39	15.3	14.7	0.63
Ekpe Udoh	25	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	11	5	17.6	14.3	3.39	15.4	14.9	0.51
Larry Sanders	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.19	16	11	5	14.6	15.4	-0.78	15.4	14.8	0.54
Mike Dunleavy	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.17	15	12	3	15.6	14.7	0.93	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	14	-1	14.4	15.6	-1.20	15.0	15.0	0.01
Brandon Jennings	62	62	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	17	-7	14.7	15.9	-1.11	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Samuel Dalembert	45	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	27	-27	14.0	16.2	-2.22	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Ersan Ilyasova	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	26	-25	13.9	16.3	-2.39	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Marquis Daniels	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.7	14.9	0.74
Tobias Harris	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	28	-29	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.7	14.9	0.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kim English	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-24	21	16.6	14.7	1.93	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-24	21	16.6	14.7	1.93	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Austin Daye	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-22	17	14.4	15.4	-1.02	16.3	14.4	1.87
Jason Maxiell	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-24	21	14.3	15.6	-1.28	13.9	16.1	-2.27
Brandon Knight	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	-15	3	15.0	15.1	-0.13	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Tayshaun Prince	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	-15	3	15.1	15.0	0.13	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Greg Monroe	45	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-16	5	15.3	14.8	0.47	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Charlie Villanueva	25	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.16	-15	-12	-3	15.7	14.8	0.89	16.9	14.5	2.45
Rodney Stuckey	52	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-12	-3	15.1	15.0	0.12	15.7	14.4	1.38
Andre Drummond	56	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.29	-21	-6	-15	14.7	15.5	-0.79	15.2	15.0	0.20
Will Bynum	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-6	-15	15.0	15.0	-0.08	15.8	14.8	1.07
Kyle Singler	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-13	-1	14.9	15.3	-0.40	14.8	15.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 111, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
MEM 105, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 115, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%