NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	3.4 [1110]		MVP	Markel Brown (BKN): +7.2%
Brooklyn Nets	91		Comeback	3.0 [267]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -8.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omer Asik	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.06	14	55%	0.10	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Norris Cole	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.15	0.02	0.14	9	94%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	16	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Elliot Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	86%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	10%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	9	65%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	14	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	28.2	15.6	23.9	1.8	24.4	117.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +41.0%

NOP +2.0%

NOP +6.5%

BKN -1.7%

NOP +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BKN	NBA	NOP	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.1	120.7	97.8	104.2
season	15.8	15.3		106.3	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.2	18.0	14.5	17.2	16.1
BKN	14.8	15.6	15.5	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	55	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	3	14	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.0	13.4	2.57
Anthony Davis	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	6	8	16.2	16.1	0.12	15.6	14.1	1.55
Quincy Pondexter	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	9	2	15.3	17.6	-2.28	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Omer Asik	50	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	9	2	16.9	15.3	1.57	15.5	14.4	1.05
Norris Cole	57	57	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	16	-12	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.2	14.7	0.41
Alexis Ajinca	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	8	4	15.4	16.9	-1.46	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Elliot Williams	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	11	-2	14.9	16.9	-2.00	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Dante Cunningham	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	14	-8	15.3	16.5	-1.23	15.2	14.9	0.36
Luke Babbitt	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	14	-8	17.8	15.5	2.22	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Jimmer Fredette	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.13	8	12	-4	16.8	15.8	0.98	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Jeff Withey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	20.0	16.0	3.99	10.0	15.2	-5.17

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	13.0	15.2	-2.16	20.3	15.8	4.48
Jerome Jordan	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-23	26	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Sergey Karasev	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-16	12	14.4	15.1	-0.67	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Mason Plumlee	33	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-17	14	14.2	15.5	-1.32	17.3	15.5	1.84
Bojan Bogdanovic	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-12	4	14.2	15.4	-1.21	15.3	16.6	-1.33
Thaddeus Young	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-11	2	16.2	13.7	2.51	15.9	16.4	-0.45
Alan Anderson	20	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-11	2	15.7	14.8	0.96	16.8	16.0	0.82
Jarrett Jack	54	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-10	0	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.4	15.7	0.69
Deron Williams	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-13	6	15.4	14.5	0.95	15.5	17.0	-1.46
Markel Brown	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-11	2	15.3	14.6	0.73	16.6	15.7	0.84
Cory Jefferson	43	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-9	-2	13.7	16.2	-2.51	16.4	15.9	0.45
Joe Johnson	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-6	-8	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.1	16.2	-0.16
Brook Lopez	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	0	-20	15.5	14.5	1.04	15.7	16.6	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIL 117, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
HOU 115, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%