NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	3.2 [1166]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +5.6%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	2.6 [565]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -7.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	11	83%	0.09	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.08	7	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Viacheslav Kravtsov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kim English	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.14	0.00	0.14	5	130%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	31.6	18.6	25.2	2.4	25.2	127.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +22.0%

MEM +5.8%

MEM +11.3%

MEM +11.7%

DET -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	16.8	15.4	112.9	97.8	104.1
season	16.5	15.7		102.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	12.1	13.6	16.7	14.2
DET	16.6	16.2	20.0	14.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	62	60	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	1	12	14.1	14.3	-0.19	15.7	18.6	-2.89
Zach Randolph	53	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	-11	36	12.8	16.0	-3.17	16.6	16.9	-0.30
Marc Gasol	50	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	3	8	13.5	15.0	-1.59	18.2	15.0	3.13
Mike Conley	57	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-3	20	13.5	15.3	-1.77	17.8	14.9	2.89
Quincy Pondexter	44	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.37	23	-9	32	13.6	14.7	-1.10	17.3	16.3	1.07
Tayshaun Prince	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	8	-2	13.0	15.0	-1.98	18.2	15.8	2.35
Ed Davis	40	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	3	8	15.2	13.4	1.77	17.8	16.1	1.72
Tony Allen	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	6	2	14.1	14.2	-0.11	18.3	15.7	2.64
Jon Leuer	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	25	-36	18.9	13.6	5.27	11.9	17.3	-5.41
Tony Wroten	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	28	-42	19.1	13.5	5.61	12.5	17.4	-4.90
Austin Daye	28	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.30	-11	25	-36	16.2	13.3	2.89	13.8	18.2	-4.44
Darrell Arthur	33	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	22	-30	14.8	13.8	1.02	15.0	17.8	-2.80

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-26	38	13.6	17.6	-4.04	17.4	13.3	4.15
Khris Middleton	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-24	34	13.9	17.4	-3.47	17.1	13.6	3.51
Kim English	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-25	36	15.8	17.2	-1.38	16.4	13.2	3.21
Greg Monroe	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-5	-4	17.7	16.0	1.68	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Charlie Villanueva	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.26	-16	2	-18	16.2	17.1	-0.85	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Kyle Singler	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-5	-4	19.2	15.0	4.21	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Jose Calderon	59	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-4	-6	18.2	14.3	3.86	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Will Bynum	34	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-10	6	14.3	18.2	-3.86	15.1	13.6	1.47
Jason Maxiell	39	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-4	-6	18.9	15.3	3.61	13.4	14.7	-1.26
Viacheslav Kravtsov	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-9	4	16.0	17.7	-1.68	14.9	13.5	1.37
Rodney Stuckey	47	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	6	-26	16.1	17.4	-1.26	13.3	15.0	-1.72
Brandon Knight	53	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	6	-26	16.9	16.5	0.39	12.9	15.8	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 111, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIL 117, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 115, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%