NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	6.4 [588]		MVP	Zach Collins (POR): +23.1%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	2.5 [318]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -12.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Collins	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	10	77%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Caleb Swanigan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	73%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.03	13	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Layman	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	53%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	14	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	24	43%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	25.1	14.7	27.0	1.8	32.3	129.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +52.1%

POR +14.9%

POR +5.2%

IND -20.0%

IND -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	14.3	109.6	97.9	109.3
season	14.9	14.5		112.6	108.4
opponent	14.6	13.9		105.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	17.0	14.2	15.3	15.7
IND	15.1	13.8	17.7	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	52	52	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.13	23	-13	36	14.7	16.9	-2.17	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Zach Collins	54	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.13	22	-12	34	15.0	16.5	-1.51	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Seth Curry	35	37	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.02	23	-13	36	13.5	17.0	-3.50	15.3	14.5	0.86
Al-Farouq Aminu	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-1	12	16.2	14.9	1.27	16.5	12.7	3.82
Nik Stauskas	48	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	4	2	15.1	16.3	-1.26	13.8	15.9	-2.07
Caleb Swanigan	38	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	11	-12	15.0	16.1	-1.14	13.0	16.1	-3.15
CJ McCollum	63	62	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	17	-24	16.6	13.9	2.65	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Jake Layman	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	12	-14	16.8	15.3	1.43	17.1	14.1	2.98
Meyers Leonard	6	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	16	-22	16.5	15.6	0.87	16.0	14.7	1.28
Jusuf Nurkic	34	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	16	-22	16.6	15.2	1.38	15.1	14.6	0.54
Damian Lillard	64	63	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	23	-36	16.8	13.2	3.64	14.5	15.4	-0.96

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	62	61	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-17	24	14.5	15.4	-0.96	16.3	14.6	1.70
Darren Collison	69	70	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-19	28	14.7	15.1	-0.38	16.6	13.0	3.66
Victor Oladipo	68	70	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-19	28	14.7	15.1	-0.49	16.7	12.6	4.16
Myles Turner	61	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-12	14	15.5	13.5	2.07	16.7	14.0	2.68
TJ Leaf	9	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-3	-4	16.1	14.7	1.45	13.1	15.9	-2.74
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-14	18	14.3	16.5	-2.21	16.1	14.1	1.94
Doug McDermott	22	22	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	4	-18	15.1	14.7	0.38	13.2	16.4	-3.20
Cory Joseph	32	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	10	-30	14.8	14.8	0.02	12.9	16.9	-3.98
Tyreke Evans	31	29	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.06	-22	12	-34	15.0	14.7	0.34	13.6	16.6	-3.03
Domantas Sabonis	48	49	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.18	-18	8	-26	14.9	14.7	0.15	14.6	16.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%
LAL 93, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	92.1%
BOS 104, NOP 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%