NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	9.2 [155]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +69.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	116		Comeback	3.3 [621]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -12.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.48,0.48	0.19	0.30	0.01	23	66%	0.51	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.02	0.00	15	82%	0.30	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Mohamed Bamba	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.25,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Jonathan Isaac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jerian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12	0.04	-0.16	-0.00	12	61%	-0.04	4	-0.08	9	67%	-0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.7	0.70	0.22	0.48	0.00	20	72%	0.70	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.03	26	57%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.06
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	80%	0.18	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	0.00	12	50%	0.16	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.06
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	25.0	14.6	25.2	2.4	36.7	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.1%

ORL -3.5%

ORL -18.7%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +10.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	14.3	116.2	119.6	109.3
season	14.9	14.0		107.2	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	15.0	15.2	15.1	15.4
PHI	14.3	13.8	13.1	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	73	72	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.36	23	-24	47	14.4	18.2	-3.74	14.2	13.2	1.05
Evan Fournier	73	71	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.49	19	-20	39	14.4	18.1	-3.69	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Jonathan Isaac	58	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-10	19	15.0	16.0	-0.99	13.9	14.1	-0.25
Nikola Vucevic	79	78	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.49	12	-13	25	14.8	17.8	-3.08	13.5	15.8	-2.25
Isaiah Briscoe	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	4	-9	17.9	15.0	2.87	14.1	14.0	0.13
Aaron Gordon	66	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.67	12	-13	25	15.0	16.2	-1.14	14.6	12.7	1.94
Jerian Grant	14	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	18	-37	18.4	14.9	3.45	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Mohamed Bamba	28	26	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.16	-25	24	-49	18.1	14.3	3.78	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	34	33	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	19	-39	17.2	14.5	2.71	14.4	13.7	0.67
Terrence Ross	58	58	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	10	-21	15.9	14.6	1.34	13.9	14.1	-0.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	79	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.54	-1	2	-3	13.9	14.4	-0.50	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Amir Johnson	31	30	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	-8	17	11.8	15.0	-3.19	15.8	15.2	0.53
Landry Shamet	40	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-11	23	14.2	13.8	0.42	16.8	14.5	2.32
JJ Redick	65	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-15	31	13.9	14.1	-0.22	15.4	15.4	0.06
T.J. McConnell	51	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	-7	15	13.5	14.6	-1.11	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Joel Embiid	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.52	-8	9	-17	14.8	12.1	2.67	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Dario Saric	77	78	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.54	-11	12	-23	14.1	13.7	0.35	14.9	17.0	-2.10
Markelle Fultz	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	8	-15	14.6	13.5	1.11	15.5	15.3	0.26
Furkan Korkmaz	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	12.2	14.3	-2.10	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Ben Simmons	14	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	13	-25	16.5	13.6	2.95	16.0	15.3	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.88,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 107, PHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	87.8%
CLE 96, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.85,1	87.7%
SAC 86, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,1	87.6%