NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	100		Excitement	9.3 [143]		MVP	Blake Griffin (DET): +11.8%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	3.0 [680]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -14.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.11,0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	14	46%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	89%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	18	56%	0.13	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.04
Rodions Kurucs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.07,-0.07	0.07	-0.14	0.00	10	71%	0.05	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.14	0.09	-0.22	0.01	18	61%	0.16	3	-0.31	8	87%	0.01
Jared Dudley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	5	8%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	17	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	21	52%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Lofton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	20	44%	-0.05	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.6	15.3	32.3	1.8	38.5	142.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -37.0%

DET +22.1%

DET +59.2%

DET +0.8%

DET +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	13.4	15.2	14.3	99.0	103.0	109.3
season	14.3	15.3		108.6	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.0		109.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.3	15.0	11.8	13.8	13.4
DET	14.4	14.4	15.5	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	40	40	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-11	19	11.3	14.8	-3.52	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Rodions Kurucs	24	24	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-6	9	12.8	13.6	-0.83	14.0	15.6	-1.69
Treveon Graham	36	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-9	15	11.9	14.3	-2.43	16.4	14.5	1.82
Spencer Dinwiddie	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-9	15	12.6	15.3	-2.72	15.1	15.5	-0.31
D'Angelo Russell	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	6	-15	14.1	12.6	1.49	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Jarrett Allen	61	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	6	-15	14.8	11.4	3.40	16.1	14.0	2.14
Jared Dudley	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	5	-13	14.3	11.0	3.36	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Joe Harris	79	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.56	-2	-1	-1	13.4	13.7	-0.33	15.4	14.7	0.71
Caris LeVert	69	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.33	-10	7	-17	13.9	12.3	1.63	15.4	14.9	0.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-5	13	15.0	15.9	-0.92	13.3	13.8	-0.56
Reggie Jackson	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	15.3	15.1	0.24	14.1	11.7	2.41
Bruce Brown	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-3	9	14.8	15.5	-0.69	13.7	13.2	0.47
Glenn Robinson III	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	3	-3	14.6	15.7	-1.12	12.5	14.2	-1.73
Andre Drummond	67	66	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.42	-9	12	-21	15.5	14.7	0.77	13.7	12.9	0.74
Zaza Pachulia	29	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-6	15	15.6	15.1	0.54	13.8	13.2	0.60
Ish Smith	59	61	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-1	5	15.4	15.0	0.45	13.2	13.8	-0.58
Luke Kennard	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	4	-5	15.2	15.3	-0.03	13.6	13.3	0.35
Zach Lofton	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	3	-3	14.6	15.3	-0.67	14.1	13.4	0.76
Langston Galloway	45	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.0	15.4	-0.44	12.4	14.3	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.61,0.91,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.83,0.96,0.96,1	91.4%
WAS 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.89,0.83,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.73,1	91.2%
GSW 92, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.89,1,1	91.0%