NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	8.6 [183]		MVP	Justin Jackson (SAC): +40.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	2.2 [534]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (MEM): -24.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Jackson	0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0.41	0.06	0.34	0.00	10	65%	0.46	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,0.34	-0.07	0.41	-0.01	11	36%	0.39	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	14	64%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jack Cooley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.02	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	11	64%	0.15	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	4	27%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nigel Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	13	42%	-0.06	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.38	0.38	-0.03	0.40	-0.01	12	50%	0.49	3	-0.11	8	62%	-0.02
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,0,0.34	0.34	0.04	0.31	0.01	8	58%	0.38	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.07	0.04	8	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Myke Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Omari Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	0.03	-0.25	0.02	20	57%	-0.03	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	24.5	15.4	25.4	1.7	36.0	131.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +48.2%

MEM -9.1%

MEM -9.8%

SAC +13.0%

SAC +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	14.7	98.9	102.2	107.5
season	15.4	15.4		102.9	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.8	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	16.3	13.8	15.7	14.8
MEM	17.1	15.0	16.2	16.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	58	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	-4	9	14.4	15.5	-1.12	17.1	14.6	2.50
Buddy Hield	72	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.60	-4	5	-9	14.3	16.4	-2.12	15.2	18.9	-3.68
Willie Cauley-Stein	64	63	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	-1	3	15.0	14.6	0.37	16.3	15.8	0.55
Frank Mason	24	22	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	-2	5	13.9	15.1	-1.22	15.5	16.4	-0.88
JaKarr Sampson	46	47	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	-10	21	15.2	14.5	0.62	17.3	15.0	2.26
Jack Cooley	31	28	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	2	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.8	16.3	-0.55
De'Aaron Fox	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	3	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.10	16.2	16.1	0.13
Bogdan Bogdanovic	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	5	-9	15.7	13.6	2.08	16.8	15.3	1.51
Nigel Hayes	33	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	5	-9	14.6	15.0	-0.35	15.0	16.8	-1.79
Vince Carter	27	24	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	2	-3	16.0	14.4	1.58	15.1	16.5	-1.41

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Rabb	61	64	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.41	14	-15	29	15.4	17.7	-2.34	14.9	14.8	0.09
Kobi Simmons	52	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	4	-9	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.3	14.3	1.03
Dillon Brooks	64	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-8	15	16.2	16.1	0.08	15.8	12.5	3.26
MarShon Brooks	69	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-6	11	16.3	15.9	0.40	15.5	12.7	2.84
Myke Henry	41	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-4	7	15.3	16.9	-1.63	15.0	14.7	0.36
Omari Johnson	29	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	6	-13	17.1	15.7	1.43	15.7	14.4	1.26
Mario Chalmers	35	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	14.9	16.9	-1.99	13.1	16.1	-3.02
Ben McLemore	53	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	17	-35	17.2	14.8	2.36	13.4	16.6	-3.16
Deyonta Davis	51	55	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	7	-15	16.2	16.1	0.03	14.2	15.6	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.21,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.15,0	91.9%
SAC 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.16,0	91.5%
ATL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	91.0%