NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	7.5 [373]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +45.9%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.8 [931]		LVP	Skal Labissiere (SAC): -15.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.46	0.16	0.31	0.00	14	75%	0.50	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.28	0.19	0.10	0.01	13	71%	0.31	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Domantas Sabonis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	10	60%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	83%	0.20	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	12	77%	0.25	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.05
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	54%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	15	66%	0.18	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.4	14.7	25.5	1.7	34.5	129.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +0.1%

IND +23.6%

SAC -9.6%

IND +35.3%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	14.7	119.1	115.7	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		108.3	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	14.7	16.9	16.5	15.7
SAC	16.3	16.6	16.6	17.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	68	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-13	29	15.6	16.2	-0.58	16.4	17.2	-0.81
Darren Collison	58	59	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-11	25	14.5	18.1	-3.56	16.7	16.5	0.23
Victor Oladipo	67	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-7	17	15.0	18.1	-3.12	17.1	15.0	2.12
Thaddeus Young	64	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	-2	7	15.0	17.5	-2.47	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Myles Turner	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-8	19	14.4	17.8	-3.39	15.7	18.1	-2.33
Domantas Sabonis	43	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	10	-17	17.1	14.5	2.61	18.0	15.5	2.52
Glenn Robinson III	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	8	-13	18.3	14.8	3.49	16.9	16.5	0.41
TJ Leaf	7	7	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	13.9	15.9	-2.05	17.0	16.6	0.41
Lance Stephenson	26	24	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	13	-23	18.1	14.8	3.35	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Cory Joseph	36	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.14	-13	16	-29	18.0	14.2	3.84	16.5	16.7	-0.14

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Jackson	39	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	18.1	15.5	2.60	17.4	14.5	2.92
Vince Carter	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-5	7	16.6	16.6	0.04	17.3	14.6	2.70
Kosta Koufos	35	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-6	9	17.6	16.0	1.57	17.6	14.4	3.22
JaKarr Sampson	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	13.6	16.8	-3.20	22.2	15.4	6.81
Frank Mason	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	18.1	15.7	2.38	17.0	14.9	2.12
Bogdan Bogdanovic	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.45	2	-5	7	16.9	15.4	1.52	15.5	16.9	-1.32
De'Aaron Fox	55	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	15.7	18.1	-2.38	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Willie Cauley-Stein	54	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	3	-9	16.0	17.6	-1.57	14.4	17.6	-3.22
Skal Labissiere	50	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	2	-7	16.6	16.6	-0.04	14.6	17.3	-2.70
Buddy Hield	61	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	4	-11	15.6	18.8	-3.21	14.5	18.3	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.28,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.19,0.04,0.05,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,0	91.5%
DAL 101, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.09,0.18,0	91.4%
HOU 98, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	91.3%