NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	5.1 [835]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +13.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	1.4 [606]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -9.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	65%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	-0.00	0.08	21	63%	0.09	0	0.00	12	83%	-0.00
Davis Bertans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	11	54%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	15	61%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	30.5	14.6	28.4	1.7	37.2	137.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +53.6%

MIL +1.2%

SAS -16.2%

MIL +10.8%

MIL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIL	NBA	SAS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.2	14.7	110.8	114.0	107.5
season	15.5	14.3		106.7	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.5		108.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	19.0	16.7	16.5	14.6	16.7
MIL	11.5	15.3	13.5	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-4	5	8.5	16.9	-8.40	16.3	14.2	2.16
Pau Gasol	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-11	19	15.0	18.4	-3.49	15.3	13.2	2.04
Bryn Forbes	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	16.0	17.1	-1.07	14.4	14.1	0.27
Dejounte Murray	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-10	17	15.7	18.3	-2.57	14.9	13.2	1.67
Rudy Gay	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	16.9	16.6	0.22	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Kyle Anderson	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-1	-1	17.5	15.9	1.57	13.7	14.8	-1.05
Manu Ginobili	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	4	-11	17.2	16.5	0.66	13.3	14.7	-1.44
Patty Mills	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-6	9	17.1	16.0	1.10	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Danny Green	56	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	0	-3	16.6	16.9	-0.28	14.9	13.4	1.44
Tony Parker	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	9	-21	18.3	15.7	2.59	13.5	14.7	-1.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-4	5	17.5	15.1	2.39	13.9	15.0	-1.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	63	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-14	31	13.0	16.9	-3.97	17.8	14.6	3.16
John Henson	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-9	21	13.3	15.8	-2.50	17.6	15.3	2.21
Khris Middleton	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-8	19	13.5	16.9	-3.43	17.0	15.7	1.30
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-3	9	14.1	14.9	-0.88	16.6	17.2	-0.55
Jason Terry	57	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-3	9	13.5	15.4	-1.82	17.2	16.1	1.11
Tony Snell	27	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	2	-1	14.6	14.1	0.43	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Jabari Parker	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	8	-13	15.9	13.3	2.53	16.8	16.7	0.06
Tyler Zeller	11	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	2	-1	16.5	14.0	2.50	12.5	17.3	-4.74
Brandon Jennings	27	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	15	-27	16.9	13.2	3.67	14.5	17.7	-3.25
Thon Maker	25	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	13	-23	15.5	13.8	1.69	16.6	16.8	-0.13
Shabazz Muhammad	18	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	15	-27	17.4	13.5	3.90	16.2	16.9	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 104, DEN 121	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 82, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%