NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	4.6 [545]		MVP	Rik Smits (IND): +8.9%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.2 [714]		LVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): -12.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim McIlvaine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Murdock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	17	56%	-0.05	2	-0.04	11	82%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	9	23%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	15	55%	-0.02	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Jayson Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	12	39%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	33%	-0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	17	56%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	77%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.08
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	30.1	15.6	26.2	2.3	31.7	133.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.6%

NJN -5.0%

IND +13.4%

IND +6.6%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.8	86.3	98.9	99.6
season	15.0	16.4		96.5	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		101.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.3	15.5	13.8	15.3	14.7
IND	15.7	16.5	15.7	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Murdock	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-13	15	12.9	14.9	-2.01	14.7	15.8	-1.17
Brian Evans	65	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-17	23	14.3	15.6	-1.34	15.8	15.6	0.18
Scott Burrell	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-8	5	15.3	14.7	0.64	12.3	15.9	-3.55
Jim McIlvaine	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-9	7	15.4	14.3	1.08	16.5	15.3	1.28
Lucious Harris	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.1	15.4	0.66
Chris Gatling	35	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-6	1	16.0	14.0	1.99	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Kerry Kittles	47	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	15.3	14.2	1.07	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Kendall Gill	88	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	2	-15	14.9	12.9	2.01	15.8	14.7	1.17
Jayson Williams	81	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.16	-14	3	-17	14.2	17.5	-3.27	16.0	14.4	1.60
Keith Van Horn	66	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	4	-19	14.7	14.8	-0.16	15.3	16.8	-1.50

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	50	49	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.06	22	-11	33	16.0	15.5	0.41	14.8	14.6	0.21
Mark Jackson	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-5	21	16.2	15.0	1.24	14.1	15.8	-1.75
Chris Mullin	48	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-6	23	16.4	15.1	1.29	14.6	14.9	-0.27
Reggie Miller	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-6	23	16.1	15.2	0.88	15.5	13.4	2.08
Rik Smits	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	-5	21	15.9	15.6	0.27	15.5	13.9	1.57
Antonio Davis	43	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	16.1	15.5	0.69	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Jalen Rose	54	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	16	-21	15.2	16.6	-1.41	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Austin Croshere	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	16	-21	15.0	16.0	-1.03	14.4	14.8	-0.46
Al Harrington	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	11.6	16.0	-4.40	7.5	15.0	-7.53
Travis Best	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	16	-21	15.0	16.2	-1.24	15.8	14.1	1.75
Sam Perkins	44	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	22	-33	15.5	16.0	-0.41	14.6	14.8	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 87, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.7%
POR 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
GSW 93, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%