inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 104 Excitement4.1 [1017] MVPGary Harris (DEN): +17.9%
Denver Nuggets 121 Comeback1.8 [799] LVPMichael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -3.7%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Treveon Graham0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.00779%0.1000.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.011362%0.122-0.05683%0.04
Jeremy Lamb0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.031156%0.0300.003100%0.01
Dwight Howard0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.09-0.020.041170%0.072-0.04520%-0.06
Michael Carter-Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02650%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.031158%0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Cody Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01380%0.042-0.044100%0.01
Julyan Stone0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwayne Bacon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Monk-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Kaminsky-0.020,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00850%-0.021-0.0020%-0.04
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.240.010.071387%0.222-0.04580%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.010.001082%0.171-0.042100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.03-0.071160%0.143-0.023100%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.00-0.031560%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.08-0.000.025100%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01861%0.0500.00250%-0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.000.05780%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.323.614.525.51.828.5120.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.8%
DEN +5.4%
DEN +0.4%
CHA -1.7%
DEN +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADENNBACHADENNBA
this game15.615.414.7113.0128.7107.5
season14.614.7108.7111.2
opponent14.714.5109.9108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.814.716.014.915.6
DEN15.216.014.016.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb47500.09-0.590.68-0.148-253315.415.8-0.4216.114.51.53
Michael Carter-Williams31320.03-0.530.56-0.094-212516.015.40.5415.915.10.87
Cody Zeller32350.01-0.510.51-0.052-192114.816.0-1.2215.515.30.15
Johnny O'Bryant III56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.815.8-2.9717.715.22.46
Julyan Stone56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.815.8-2.9717.715.22.46
Malik Monk56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.815.8-2.9717.715.22.46
Dwayne Bacon56-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-151312.815.8-2.9717.715.22.46
Treveon Graham5151-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-9114.417.1-2.7715.215.6-0.40
Frank Kaminsky4143-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-9-8-117.114.42.7715.615.20.40
Kemba Walker6365-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.07-14-3-1115.815.20.5915.415.30.12
Dwight Howard5553-0.500.00-0.51-0.01-170-1716.314.51.7915.015.8-0.74
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5855-0.560.06-0.630.05-214-2516.114.91.2014.616.4-1.75
Nicolas Batum6262-0.580.08-0.650.07-225-2715.715.50.1614.417.2-2.77

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris66650.480.020.47-0.021701715.215.6-0.4015.914.91.02
Nikola Jokic63630.470.030.430.031521315.615.00.5915.915.00.84
Will Barton69700.440.060.38-0.061701714.717.3-2.6115.216.9-1.65
Jamal Murray62620.430.070.360.05134915.615.00.6015.715.40.36
Wilson Chandler41420.310.190.11-0.02116514.915.7-0.7715.715.50.24
Torrey Craig53500.190.31-0.110.02611-515.714.90.7715.515.7-0.24
Emmanuel Mudiay36330.110.39-0.29-0.01413-915.315.4-0.1415.215.8-0.62
Trey Lyles46430.040.46-0.410.10-219-2116.314.41.9316.015.30.69
Darrell Arthur28260.030.47-0.430.03017-1714.915.6-0.6715.015.8-0.79
Malik Beasley330.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1315.715.40.3215.015.6-0.63
Juan Hernangomez330.000.50-0.50-0.06215-1315.715.40.3215.015.6-0.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 103, MIL 1060.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,195.2%
SAC 93, PHX 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DEN 97, SAC 1190.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%