NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	9.8 [79]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +55.2%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	4.9 [49]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -38.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.55	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.55	0.17	0.38	0.00	28	62%	0.62	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	10	35%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	13	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew White III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.08
Taurean Prince	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07	-0.06	0.03	0.04	13	35%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.06
Isaiah Taylor	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.15	0.02	14	68%	0.29	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.09
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	10	68%	0.24	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	53%	0.14	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.06
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	10	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.38	-0.38	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	28	39%	-0.14	3	-0.25	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	23.6	14.4	28.3	2.5	43.5	139.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +68.1%

UTA -48.2%

ATL +9.8%

ATL +21.4%

UTA -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	14.7	97.1	92.2	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		104.2	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.4		103.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	14.4	14.0	12.9	14.0
UTA	14.6	15.0	12.1	15.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	73	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-5	15	13.7	14.9	-1.27	14.5	13.5	1.00
Taurean Prince	78	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-4	13	13.9	14.2	-0.30	14.4	13.6	0.78
Dewayne Dedmon	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	1	3	13.7	14.5	-0.72	13.8	14.9	-1.17
Damion Lee	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-1	7	13.9	14.4	-0.51	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Isaiah Taylor	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	14.0	14.0	0.01	14.6	14.0	0.59
Mike Muscala	64	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-2	9	14.3	13.6	0.74	14.6	13.6	0.93
Andrew White III	35	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.16	15.1	13.8	1.28
Tyler Dorsey	40	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	14.6	13.6	1.00	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Miles Plumlee	23	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	14.4	13.9	0.54	14.2	14.2	-0.05
Tyler Cavanaugh	22	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	12	-19	14.6	13.9	0.73	12.2	14.8	-2.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	28	29	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-12	19	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.3	13.9	0.36
Dante Exum	33	34	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-9	13	14.5	14.1	0.44	14.0	14.0	0.01
Royce O'Neale	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.5	1.96	13.1	14.6	-1.44
Ekpe Udoh	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-4	3	15.4	13.8	1.57	13.3	14.3	-0.93
Rudy Gobert	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-3	1	13.8	15.4	-1.57	14.3	13.3	0.93
Donovan Mitchell	88	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-7	9	13.5	18.6	-5.13	13.9	14.9	-1.05
Joe Ingles	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	3	-11	14.5	13.5	0.94	14.4	12.9	1.54
Ricky Rubio	76	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.36	-11	6	-17	14.1	14.5	-0.33	14.1	13.9	0.13
Jae Crowder	71	69	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.40	-13	8	-21	14.0	14.6	-0.62	14.1	13.8	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.46,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.44,0.43,0.32,0.42,0	90.3%
WAS 88, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.6,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.28,0	90.3%
DAL 85, OKC 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.66,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.53,0	90.2%