NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	132		Excitement	10.2 [57]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +56.0%
Toronto Raptors	125		Comeback	2.7 [205]		LVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): -25.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.56	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.56	0.14	0.37	-0.05	22	71%	0.68	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.06
Alex Abrines	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	2	150%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	13	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.11
Jerami Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.02	10	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	42%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	14	55%	0.17	5	-0.28	12	83%	0.08

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.19	-0.00	8	83%	0.31	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.05	0.18	-0.02	12	56%	0.26	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	10	96%	0.34	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.05
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.08,-0.02	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	18	56%	0.15	1	-0.16	7	71%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	7	71%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.11	0.02	11	29%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	29.6	15.4	32.3	0.3	37.8	142.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +19.4%

TOR -5.5%

OKC +30.8%

OKC +6.9%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	TOR	NBA	OKC	TOR	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	14.7	130.7	123.8	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		109.4	112.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		105.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.8	13.2	11.7	17.0	13.3
TOR	17.0	13.4	15.5	15.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	79	80	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.19	21	-14	35	12.6	15.7	-3.06	15.1	15.5	-0.37
Steven Adams	71	71	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.22	20	-13	33	13.4	13.0	0.36	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.18	21	-14	35	12.9	14.5	-1.69	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Russell Westbrook	79	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-10	27	13.2	13.5	-0.21	15.0	16.0	-0.97
Corey Brewer	69	67	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-6	19	12.9	14.2	-1.36	14.2	17.2	-2.98
Josh Huestis	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	3	1	12.5	13.4	-0.89	18.6	14.8	3.81
Alex Abrines	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	17.4	12.8	4.57	18.5	14.8	3.71
Patrick Patterson	26	27	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	21	-35	14.5	12.9	1.69	16.0	15.0	1.00
Jerami Grant	30	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	20	-33	13.0	13.4	-0.36	16.3	14.8	1.48
Terrance Ferguson	25	25	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.10	-16	23	-39	14.3	13.0	1.32	15.7	15.1	0.65
Raymond Felton	28	27	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	25	-43	14.2	12.9	1.28	15.1	15.3	-0.11

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucas Nogueira	14	15	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.09	15	-22	37	12.6	15.7	-3.08	14.7	13.0	1.70
CJ Miles	55	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-16	25	14.5	16.2	-1.70	14.4	12.0	2.37
Norman Powell	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-2	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.22	12.0	13.8	-1.85
Jakob Poeltl	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-3	-1	18.4	14.0	4.43	13.1	13.4	-0.30
OG Anunoby	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	15.6	15.1	0.50	12.3	13.7	-1.45
Pascal Siakam	45	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-17	27	14.6	15.7	-1.09	14.9	11.9	2.99
Kyle Lowry	55	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.5	1.38	14.5	11.8	2.68
Delon Wright	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	15.1	15.4	-0.34	13.2	13.4	-0.10
Jonas Valanciunas	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	5	-17	15.3	15.2	0.09	12.7	13.8	-1.05
DeMar DeRozan	72	73	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.27	-20	13	-33	15.2	15.2	-0.02	12.4	15.5	-3.06
Serge Ibaka	66	65	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.24	-23	16	-39	15.0	15.7	-0.74	12.4	14.9	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	91.5%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.4%
MIA 85, NYK 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0	91.3%