NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	7.9 [304]		MVP	Ian Clark (NOP): +14.7%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	1.3 [955]		LVP	Nikola Mirotic (NOP): -24.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Clark	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	11	67%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Liggins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.01	9	61%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	4	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	23	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.04
Anthony Davis	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.10	0.03	19	49%	-0.04	6	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Nikola Mirotic	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	12	25%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	13	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	7	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	33%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	27	44%	0.01	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.06
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	11	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	12	29%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	1.0	27.1	14.8	27.1	2.5	36.5	130.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +10.7%

SAS +9.6%

SAS +5.9%

SAS +21.5%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	12.5	16.0	14.7	92.1	97.0	107.5
season	13.6	15.5		108.0	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.6		104.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	11.5	11.3	13.3	12.5
SAS	15.4	15.6	16.4	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	78	80	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-18	31	12.4	12.8	-0.39	16.9	12.7	4.25
DeAndre Liggins	16	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-6	7	14.1	12.2	1.95	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Ian Clark	70	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-7	9	12.1	13.4	-1.30	15.4	17.5	-2.05
Emeka Okafor	28	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	11.9	12.7	-0.82	13.3	17.0	-3.73
Anthony Davis	71	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-7	9	13.0	11.3	1.64	17.4	12.7	4.73
E'Twaun Moore	65	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.26	1	-6	7	12.1	13.1	-0.97	16.8	14.5	2.34
Nikola Mirotic	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	4	-13	12.6	12.3	0.34	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Darius Miller	62	62	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	5	-15	12.0	13.3	-1.38	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Rajon Rondo	51	49	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.06	-22	17	-39	13.2	11.7	1.52	15.6	16.5	-0.89

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	59	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-1	7	16.1	15.9	0.25	13.3	11.3	2.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	8	-11	17.0	12.6	4.34	12.5	12.5	-0.02
Patty Mills	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	10	-15	17.0	13.8	3.22	12.6	12.3	0.28
Kyle Anderson	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	10	-15	16.9	14.1	2.84	12.7	12.0	0.71
Bryn Forbes	27	28	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	-7	19	13.1	17.1	-3.98	11.9	12.7	-0.77
Rudy Gay	13	14	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	-7	19	11.8	16.7	-4.89	12.6	12.5	0.10
Manu Ginobili	51	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	4	-3	15.3	16.8	-1.57	11.4	13.5	-2.17
Pau Gasol	22	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-3	11	12.6	17.0	-4.34	12.5	12.5	0.02
Dejounte Murray	52	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	3	-1	16.5	15.5	1.01	13.8	11.0	2.74
Tony Parker	43	41	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	6	-7	16.5	15.7	0.76	11.2	13.4	-2.17
Davis Bertans	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	15.7	16.1	-0.37	11.6	12.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	92.1%
NJN 84, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	91.7%
DEN 97, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.54,0.9,1,1	91.3%