NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	6.4 [544]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.4 [932]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -25.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	65%	0.14	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
DeMarre Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	15	46%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.05
DeMar DeRozan	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	24	32%	-0.20	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.00	11	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	66%	0.19	3	-0.12	9	78%	-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	0.02	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.03	7	0%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	30.5	14.7	26.2	2.4	39.5	137.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +56.2%

ATL +2.1%

TOR -7.8%

TOR -3.9%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.9	14.9	91.6	102.2	105.1
season	16.1	14.2		107.2	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.8		100.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	16.7	17.8	16.0	16.7
ATL	12.2	13.9	14.9	14.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	6	6	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.02	5	-13	18	15.7	16.8	-1.14	14.5	13.8	0.67
Lucas Nogueira	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-10	12	13.5	17.0	-3.53	20.7	13.2	7.53
DeMarre Carroll	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-10	12	18.0	16.3	1.69	14.5	13.6	0.86
Bismack Biyombo	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	17.3	16.3	0.98	14.6	13.2	1.41
Terrence Ross	36	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-7	6	17.4	16.3	1.14	14.7	13.4	1.28
Cory Joseph	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	17.7	16.2	1.51	14.1	13.8	0.29
Luis Scola	24	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	17.6	16.4	1.19	11.8	14.5	-2.69
Patrick Patterson	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	16.2	17.4	-1.24	14.8	12.7	2.05
Kyle Lowry	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	16.2	18.0	-1.79	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Norman Powell	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	16.6	17.1	-0.50	13.4	14.9	-1.57
Jonas Valanciunas	46	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	3	-14	16.8	16.7	0.13	11.8	15.6	-3.78
DeMar DeRozan	69	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	2	-12	16.3	18.0	-1.69	13.6	14.5	-0.86

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	59	63	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-9	26	13.2	15.0	-1.83	16.4	17.5	-1.10
Thabo Sefolosha	59	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-5	18	13.1	15.3	-2.24	16.3	17.5	-1.23
Paul Millsap	72	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.18	10	-2	12	13.7	14.4	-0.72	16.3	18.3	-1.98
Al Horford	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	12.8	16.4	-3.56	17.0	16.0	1.04
Kyle Korver	68	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	1	6	13.9	13.8	0.10	17.1	15.6	1.55
Mike Muscala	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.12	-2	10	-12	17.4	13.1	4.31	16.1	16.9	-0.74
Kirk Hinrich	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	12.3	14.0	-1.70	17.3	16.7	0.63
Kris Humphries	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	14.5	13.8	0.67	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Mike Scott	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	12	-16	14.6	13.6	1.07	17.7	16.4	1.26
Tim Hardaway Jr.	54	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	17	-26	15.1	12.2	2.82	16.7	16.8	-0.18
Dennis Schroder	30	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	15.1	13.3	1.77	17.5	16.4	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.88,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.76,0.96,0.98,0.92,1	93.7%
NYK 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.99,1	93.5%
LAC 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.95,1	93.4%