NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	5.8 [677]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): +23.2%
Charlotte Hornets	122		Comeback	1.0 [1257]		LVP	Dragan Bender (PHX): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.06	0.05	0.03	15	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	8	89%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,-0.02,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13	0.06	-0.14	0.05	8	73%	0.07	3	-0.20	6	83%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.08	0.04	18	74%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	15	67%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.03	0.06	10	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.4	14.0	27.2	2.4	35.5	130.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -0.0%

CHA +10.4%

CHA +18.6%

CHA +20.7%

CHA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.7	115.0	118.4	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		102.6	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.3		108.5	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.7	11.6	16.1	11.8	13.7
CHA	13.1	14.1	14.5	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	45	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-10	13	13.3	14.0	-0.73	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Tyler Ulis	45	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.34	10	-17	27	13.5	13.9	-0.40	15.1	14.3	0.85
Davon Reed	49	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-18	29	13.1	14.3	-1.11	15.7	13.6	2.10
Jared Dudley	59	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.47	13	-20	33	12.5	15.4	-2.89	15.5	13.3	2.17
Alex Len	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	2	-11	18.1	13.1	5.02	14.8	14.6	0.14
Marquese Chriss	38	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.1	1.70	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Dragan Bender	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.87	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Tyson Chandler	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	8	-23	14.7	12.9	1.83	13.3	15.7	-2.35
Troy Daniels	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	2	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.08	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Elfrid Payton	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.06	-22	15	-37	14.1	13.1	1.02	14.4	14.9	-0.46

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	77	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.06	26	-19	45	14.2	15.9	-1.65	14.4	11.7	2.73
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	63	63	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.10	27	-20	47	14.1	15.5	-1.35	14.3	12.8	1.47
Kemba Walker	84	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-4	15	14.6	15.0	-0.43	14.1	12.0	2.06
Dwight Howard	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.06	17	-10	27	14.4	15.5	-1.15	14.4	11.6	2.79
Marvin Williams	58	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-5	17	14.1	15.4	-1.33	14.8	12.3	2.57
Frank Kaminsky	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.28	-5	12	-17	15.8	13.8	2.04	12.5	14.6	-2.17
Treveon Graham	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	17	-27	14.8	14.6	0.22	11.3	14.5	-3.19
Dwayne Bacon	20	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	16	-25	15.3	14.5	0.87	10.9	14.3	-3.37
Malik Monk	29	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.29	-17	24	-41	15.7	14.3	1.40	11.8	14.4	-2.60
Jeremy Lamb	36	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.29	-17	24	-41	15.4	14.2	1.22	13.3	13.9	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.75,0.9,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 106, NJN 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.86,0.92,1	93.0%
BOS 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	92.9%
MIN 102, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.99,1	92.6%