NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	4.8 [869]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	1.2 [1134]		LVP	Rashad McCants (MIN): -7.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	21	67%	0.19	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	16	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Mark Blount	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mike James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	51%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.03	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.06	0.04	35	60%	0.30	3	-0.09	14	86%	0.04
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	95%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	12	57%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	31.3	17.8	25.1	3.5	38.5	145.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.3%

MIN -1.2%

LAL +0.2%

MIN -5.4%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	15.4	102.0	109.0	104.5
season	15.4	15.3		101.9	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		107.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	15.7	15.2	11.1	14.0
LAL	12.7	15.0	14.8	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-16	25	11.6	14.9	-3.38	15.5	14.5	0.99
Mike James	67	66	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.49	15	-22	37	13.2	15.6	-2.37	16.2	12.1	4.08
Mark Madsen	29	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-10	13	15.3	13.5	1.82	17.4	13.9	3.57
Trenton Hassell	50	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.38	11	-18	29	13.2	14.9	-1.68	16.7	12.9	3.79
Rashad McCants	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-5	3	16.1	13.7	2.34	13.4	15.0	-1.55
Ricky Davis	88	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	13.7	16.1	-2.34	15.0	13.4	1.55
Mark Blount	54	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	11	-29	14.5	13.5	1.00	13.6	16.3	-2.67
Marko Jaric	50	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	11	-29	14.9	13.2	1.68	12.9	16.7	-3.79
Randy Foye	33	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	15	-37	15.6	13.2	2.37	12.1	16.2	-4.08
Kevin Garnett	90	89	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.1	13.6	0.47	14.5	16.9	-2.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	94	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	14.8	14.7	0.12	14.2	12.2	1.92
Smush Parker	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-12	31	13.4	19.5	-6.10	14.2	13.4	0.78
Luke Walton	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-10	27	14.1	17.0	-2.92	13.7	15.1	-1.43
Kwame Brown	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.19	24	-17	41	13.6	16.3	-2.75	15.1	12.5	2.58
Lamar Odom	86	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-1	9	14.0	19.9	-5.90	14.3	12.4	1.91
Ronny Turiaf	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	6	-5	12.2	15.2	-2.98	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Andrew Bynum	37	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.50	-18	25	-43	18.2	12.8	5.37	13.2	14.5	-1.39
Sasha Vujacic	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	12.3	14.9	-2.60	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Shammond Williams	23	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	19	-31	19.5	13.4	6.10	13.4	14.2	-0.78
Maurice Evans	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	20	-33	18.7	13.1	5.55	13.1	14.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 104, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 96, POR 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1	95.4%