inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement4.4 [924] MVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): +17.6%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback1.2 [547] LVPDion Waiters (MIA): -16.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney McGruder0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.01-0.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.001058%0.081-0.02683%0.00
James Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.100.010.061468%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luke Babbitt0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01370%0.031-0.024100%0.02
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.08-0.010.051070%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.021438%-0.011-0.031182%0.02
Okaro White-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.011433%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Willie Reed-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02333%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.011112%-0.151-0.02250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.030.001864%0.1800.00367%-0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.011758%0.122-0.032100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.02861%0.071-0.01250%-0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.01956%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01650%0.0300.004100%0.02
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.011048%0.0300.00367%-0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.03844%0.032-0.032100%0.01
C.J. Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.030.04863%0.023-0.08367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.90.726.516.421.62.427.2123.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +58.4%
MIA -10.1%
ORL +3.3%
MIA -1.3%
MIA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game15.114.514.8102.1112.2107.7
season15.414.6106.7103.0
opponent14.914.5109.8105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.715.415.513.515.1
ORL12.014.615.116.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson4849-0.03-0.470.44-0.185-162114.515.6-1.1315.613.32.29
Okaro White1210-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-7314.015.2-1.2011.114.9-3.78
Wayne Ellington4039-0.11-0.390.28-0.203-141713.815.9-2.1716.213.32.89
Willie Reed1717-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-7317.814.53.2911.815.0-3.23
Tyler Johnson5557-0.12-0.380.25-0.182-131515.514.51.0114.814.10.63
James Johnson6669-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-121315.214.70.5015.113.02.12
Luke Babbitt3029-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.00-9-2-715.315.00.3114.014.7-0.65
Hassan Whiteside6971-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.18-6-5-114.316.9-2.5415.212.72.52
Goran Dragic7072-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.13-9-2-714.915.4-0.4413.916.2-2.37
Rodney McGruder3636-0.41-0.09-0.310.06-165-2115.914.61.3313.215.2-2.00
Dion Waiters4241-0.44-0.06-0.380.09-187-2515.814.51.3813.315.3-2.02

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elfrid Payton55540.62-0.120.73-0.1727-164313.316.1-2.8216.413.33.06
Terrence Ross72710.58-0.080.660.0518-72513.916.0-2.1115.513.71.80
Evan Fournier69700.55-0.050.600.0218-72513.516.8-3.2715.713.42.33
Nikola Vucevic65660.54-0.040.580.0118-72513.616.2-2.6415.514.11.45
Aaron Gordon65660.54-0.040.580.0118-72513.616.2-2.6415.514.11.45
Jeff Green3331-0.040.54-0.580.16-718-2516.213.62.6414.115.5-1.45
Bismack Biyombo3331-0.040.54-0.580.16-718-2516.213.62.6414.115.5-1.45
C.J. Watson2221-0.040.54-0.590.07-415-1916.513.92.6513.815.4-1.59
Mario Hezonja3332-0.080.58-0.670.21-1021-3116.413.52.8313.415.9-2.50
D.J. Augustin4343-0.120.62-0.730.35-1627-4316.113.32.8213.316.4-3.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 94, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,196.4%
IND 82, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
SAC 95, UTA 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%