NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	4.1 [993]		MVP	Luther Head (HOU): +9.5%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.1 [1268]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -12.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
David Lee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	20	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	27%	-0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	6	92%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.06	12	45%	0.11	3	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	21	73%	0.19	8	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.9	14.7	24.4	1.5	36.2	134.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +58.3%

NYK -6.2%

HOU +7.2%

NYK -13.4%

HOU +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.4	105.6	113.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.6		103.7	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.0	15.3	17.2	12.0	15.0
HOU	18.2	16.0	15.6	18.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	8	9	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	14.6	15.1	-0.44	20.1	16.6	3.50
Nate Robinson	37	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-18	27	13.0	16.5	-3.51	17.0	16.9	0.08
Renaldo Balkman	23	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-9	9	13.0	15.7	-2.73	16.4	17.1	-0.75
David Lee	46	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-14	19	14.1	16.0	-1.85	17.0	16.9	0.09
Channing Frye	31	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-1	-7	16.1	14.5	1.60	17.2	16.8	0.31
Kelvin Cato	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-2	-5	16.9	14.7	2.19	14.3	17.3	-3.05
Eddy Curry	39	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.17	-21	12	-33	17.9	12.7	5.21	16.5	17.3	-0.87
Quentin Richardson	79	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	14.9	15.7	-0.76	17.1	15.2	1.87
Stephon Marbury	87	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	14.9	20.5	-5.60	17.1	12.5	4.56
Jamal Crawford	83	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	2	-13	15.2	12.5	2.70	17.0	17.0	-0.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	71	71	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-11	31	16.5	18.5	-2.04	16.0	11.0	5.04
Shane Battier	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-4	17	17.0	16.7	0.25	15.5	12.9	2.59
Tracy McGrady	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	2	5	17.1	16.6	0.50	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Rafer Alston	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	16.6	18.5	-1.92	14.8	15.9	-1.16
Charles Hayes	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	17.3	16.7	0.62	17.5	13.4	4.11
Luther Head	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	11	-13	16.7	17.3	-0.57	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Juwan Howard	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	16.7	17.0	-0.33	15.1	15.0	0.15
Kirk Snyder	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	14	-19	17.7	16.5	1.20	14.1	15.6	-1.56
Dikembe Mutombo	19	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.20	-11	20	-31	18.5	16.5	1.98	11.2	15.9	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	96.4%
NOK 85, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
BKN 97, UTA 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%