NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	85		Excitement	3.8 [1051]		MVP	Ime Udoka (POR): +7.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1221]		LVP	Marc Jackson (NOK): -9.5%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	46%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marcus Vinicius	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	14	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	11	57%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Marc Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	24	50%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	24.8	14.8	25.2	2.5	32.4	127.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +27.6%

POR +7.5%

POR +16.2%

POR +3.2%

NOK -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	POR	NBA	NOK	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.1	15.4	98.8	117.6	104.5
season	16.0	16.7		102.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.6	17.1	19.4	14.6	16.6
POR	14.4	16.3	19.6	18.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	10	10	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-25	35	13.3	17.0	-3.71	24.1	16.2	7.93
Marcus Vinicius	16	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-15	15	16.7	16.6	0.13	13.7	17.8	-4.06
Cedric Simmons	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-23	31	16.4	16.8	-0.37	17.3	16.9	0.36
Devin Brown	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-16	17	16.3	17.0	-0.70	16.6	17.8	-1.15
Desmond Mason	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	2	-19	16.7	16.1	0.54	17.3	16.1	1.21
Rasual Butler	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.16	-21	6	-27	17.1	14.9	2.28	17.0	17.3	-0.32
Marc Jackson	49	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	5	-25	17.2	15.8	1.35	17.2	17.0	0.24
Tyson Chandler	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	6	-27	16.9	15.7	1.21	16.4	19.4	-3.00
Jannero Pargo	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	0	-15	16.0	18.3	-2.32	17.5	15.9	1.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	-8	31	16.7	18.5	-1.82	16.7	16.3	0.33
Ime Udoka	52	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-6	27	17.9	15.8	2.10	16.8	16.2	0.55
Zach Randolph	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-3	21	17.5	16.2	1.30	17.1	15.5	1.60
Joel Przybilla	46	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	3	9	18.2	15.8	2.42	17.4	15.6	1.75
Brandon Roy	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	0	15	17.2	16.8	0.37	16.7	16.4	0.28
Travis Outlaw	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	14	-13	15.8	18.2	-2.42	15.6	17.4	-1.75
Juan Dixon	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	16	-17	16.4	17.5	-1.09	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Jamaal Magloire	25	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	20	-25	17.3	17.0	0.25	15.9	16.9	-0.94
Martell Webster	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	16	-17	15.3	18.1	-2.86	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Sergio Rodriguez	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	23	-31	18.5	16.7	1.82	16.3	16.7	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,1	96.1%
SAC 95, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	95.6%