inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 82 Excitement3.9 [1021] MVPDeShawn Stevenson (DAL): +7.2%
Dallas Mavericks 91 Comeback1.0 [1246] LVPCaron Butler (DAL): -9.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. Ford0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.011145%0.0300.00989%0.01
Josh McRoberts0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01558%0.041-0.01250%-0.01
A.J. Price-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07573%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01662%0.023-0.0210%-0.00
Solomon Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Luther Head-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00450%0.012-0.044100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01940%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.00250%0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Troy Murphy-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031533%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.011127%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Earl Watson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.011229%-0.071-0.0300%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.04750%0.0700.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02654%0.081-0.031258%-0.02
Jason Kidd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.03956%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.031058%0.041-0.03475%-0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.07-0.010.051462%0.072-0.079100%0.03
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.04833%0.0000.002100%0.01
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.01-0.041136%-0.013-0.0400%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.130.00-0.031033%-0.034-0.07450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.02.829.115.723.01.829.2132.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +31.1%
DAL +4.2%
DAL +14.3%
IND -1.9%
DAL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDALNBAINDDALNBA
this game14.613.515.380.488.3106.0
season14.215.2102.2107.2
opponent15.515.1104.6105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.716.014.214.514.6
DAL13.011.713.516.113.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Price1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-213314.114.7-0.6216.912.93.99
Luther Head4242-0.04-0.460.42-0.4815-243913.915.1-1.2214.812.62.16
Josh McRoberts3332-0.05-0.450.39-0.3811-203115.314.31.0413.613.50.17
T.J. Ford4545-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-5114.314.8-0.5513.313.6-0.30
Dahntay Jones2929-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-7514.214.8-0.5914.213.21.03
Solomon Jones4442-0.21-0.290.070.11-112-1315.214.11.1513.313.7-0.37
Roy Hibbert4851-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-7513.315.8-2.5114.312.71.52
Brandon Rush5657-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.26-4-5114.414.9-0.5314.112.71.42
Mike Dunleavy5858-0.40-0.10-0.300.16-1910-2914.914.10.8112.215.2-2.97
Troy Murphy7981-0.42-0.08-0.350.05-167-2314.714.10.6613.115.0-1.96
Earl Watson6162-0.50-0.00-0.490.24-2516-4115.513.22.3512.215.5-3.33

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki71670.53-0.030.56-0.2025-164112.914.9-1.9914.614.50.13
Caron Butler65660.53-0.030.56-0.1122-133512.714.9-2.1615.113.61.48
Jason Kidd60590.480.020.460.0116-72312.614.7-2.1315.114.01.11
Brendan Haywood73710.460.040.420.0514-51913.014.8-1.8314.714.30.40
Shawn Marion65680.300.200.110.1072513.613.40.2214.115.6-1.57
Jason Terry50470.100.40-0.300.0718-713.013.9-0.9014.814.50.31
Rodrigue Beaubois38380.050.45-0.410.16-413-1714.413.01.4914.015.0-0.95
Eduardo Najera31320.040.46-0.420.19-514-1914.813.01.8214.614.60.04
DeShawn Stevenson48480.030.47-0.430.27-817-2514.412.81.5914.614.60.09
Matt Carroll550.000.50-0.500.29-1019-2920.813.17.6713.414.7-1.26
Jose Juan Barea99-0.030.53-0.560.35-1322-3519.412.96.5112.314.8-2.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 80, PHX 1080.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
IND 77, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NYK 88, DET 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%