NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	6.0 [605]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +25.8%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	1.2 [545]		LVP	Sam Perkins (IND): -10.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	21	56%	0.19	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	54%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	80%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.07	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	7	47%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.16	-0.03	24	58%	0.27	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.02	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	19	56%	0.11	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.05
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	25.2	15.4	20.4	1.7	36.9	125.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +18.0%

NJN +5.6%

IND -8.1%

NJN +32.2%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	15.2	106.0	109.9	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		106.5	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.1		103.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	15.0	15.6	11.0	14.2
NJN	13.1	15.6	13.8	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	47	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-13	21	13.0	15.2	-2.25	15.5	13.6	1.95
Dale Davis	27	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-5	5	13.7	14.3	-0.66	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Travis Best	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-12	19	13.0	15.3	-2.22	15.5	13.5	2.01
Sam Perkins	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-11	17	12.8	15.8	-2.92	15.3	13.5	1.85
Rik Smits	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	6	-17	15.8	12.8	2.92	13.5	15.3	-1.85
Jalen Rose	90	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.5	0.72	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Mark Jackson	50	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	7	-19	15.3	13.0	2.22	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Austin Croshere	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	14.3	13.7	0.66	14.5	14.4	0.11
Reggie Miller	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	12	-29	14.9	12.8	2.13	13.7	15.7	-2.02

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	76	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-12	29	13.8	16.6	-2.73	13.9	14.8	-0.84
Stephon Marbury	82	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.0	16.6	-2.55	14.1	14.4	-0.31
Keith Van Horn	80	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	14.0	16.4	-2.43	14.1	14.5	-0.47
Scott Burrell	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	14.5	14.5	-0.03	13.5	14.8	-1.29
Evan Eschmeyer	22	21	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-5	15	12.9	15.0	-2.10	17.2	13.3	3.91
Lucious Harris	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	8	-11	15.7	13.8	1.89	12.8	15.0	-2.17
Kerry Kittles	64	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-3	11	13.8	15.7	-1.89	15.0	12.8	2.17
Elliot Perry	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	16.6	14.0	2.55	14.4	14.1	0.31
Johnny Newman	25	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.25	-12	17	-29	16.6	13.8	2.73	14.8	13.9	0.84
Jamie Feick	53	53	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	15	-25	16.0	12.9	3.07	13.7	14.7	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 75, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.86,0.93,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
WAS 101, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%
MIA 99, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%