NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	80		Excitement	5.1 [830]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +16.0%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.8 [1047]		LVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): -13.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Hezonja	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	83%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.05	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	18	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jonathan Isaac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	18	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	10	81%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	6	86%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	16	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.00	9	20%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	26.3	14.8	28.0	2.0	31.3	126.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.4%

UTA +0.6%

ORL -3.8%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.5	14.7	87.0	101.1	107.5
season	14.6	15.1		104.2	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.5		103.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.3	17.7	15.0	17.0	15.6
UTA	14.9	15.7	15.0	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	31	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-18	22	14.6	16.1	-1.57	15.2	15.7	-0.47
Jonathan Isaac	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-14	14	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Wes Iwundu	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-13	12	17.3	15.1	2.21	15.4	15.5	-0.08
Mario Hezonja	39	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-10	6	15.2	15.9	-0.76	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Shelvin Mack	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-10	6	15.2	15.9	-0.74	15.0	15.9	-0.88
D.J. Augustin	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-2	-10	15.9	15.3	0.58	15.8	15.2	0.62
Evan Fournier	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-4	-6	15.3	16.3	-1.01	15.6	15.3	0.34
Aaron Gordon	63	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	0	-14	15.7	15.4	0.25	15.7	15.2	0.48
Jonathon Simmons	53	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	15.6	15.6	0.01	16.1	14.7	1.35
Nikola Vucevic	61	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	4	-22	16.1	14.6	1.57	15.7	15.2	0.47

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	68	69	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-8	30	16.0	14.1	1.96	16.3	13.7	2.57
Donovan Mitchell	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-3	20	15.3	16.7	-1.45	15.7	15.2	0.48
Ricky Rubio	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-2	18	15.8	14.9	0.88	16.4	13.4	2.99
Joe Ingles	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-1	16	16.4	12.6	3.74	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Jonas Jerebko	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	2	10	15.1	15.9	-0.81	15.7	15.6	0.07
Royce O'Neale	36	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	14	-14	14.4	16.2	-1.79	14.9	16.1	-1.17
Jae Crowder	51	51	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	10	-6	15.9	15.1	0.81	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Raul Neto	14	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	17	-20	16.4	15.4	1.07	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Ekpe Udoh	25	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	22	-30	14.1	16.0	-1.96	13.7	16.3	-2.57
Alec Burks	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	19	-24	13.0	15.9	-2.93	14.5	15.8	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 93, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%
DEN 113, HOU 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 84, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%