NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	84		Excitement	5.4 [767]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (ORL): +4.3%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	2.0 [838]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	17	43%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	7	19%	-0.06	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	11	54%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	8	11%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.03	14	34%	-0.08	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	0.02	16	47%	-0.06	4	-0.11	11	91%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.02	-0.06	11	61%	0.08	7	-0.09	6	83%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	-0.11	18	38%	-0.00	4	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	29.1	16.5	28.4	2.3	27.7	135.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +61.4%

ORL +2.7%

DAL -14.4%

ORL +2.4%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.7	15.5	80.8	89.5	104.0
season	14.9	14.3		108.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	14.7	13.5	11.7	13.9
ORL	10.8	14.1	17.0	13.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	28	28	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-21	32	14.0	13.9	0.11	16.6	12.6	4.05
Calvin Booth	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.3	14.4	-7.08	9.1	14.1	-4.93
Jerry Stackhouse	76	77	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.37	10	-20	30	12.2	18.3	-6.07	14.3	12.0	2.33
Marquis Daniels	62	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-16	22	14.2	13.4	0.88	14.8	11.9	2.91
Jason Terry	61	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-13	16	12.9	15.3	-2.42	14.1	13.0	1.17
Alan Henderson	19	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	13.5	14.0	-0.44	11.2	14.3	-3.05
Dirk Nowitzki	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-5	0	14.0	13.6	0.41	15.0	11.2	3.80
Devin Harris	37	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	3	-16	14.5	13.5	0.98	10.6	15.4	-4.76
Josh Howard	66	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	3	-16	14.3	13.2	1.06	13.8	13.4	0.41
Erick Dampier	57	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	11	-32	15.0	12.6	2.43	11.7	15.9	-4.25
Michael Finley	40	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.19	-24	14	-38	16.2	12.4	3.76	13.1	14.0	-0.89

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	72	75	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.12	24	-14	38	12.8	15.5	-2.68	14.4	12.6	1.85
Kelvin Cato	49	51	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.06	18	-8	26	11.7	15.4	-3.76	15.2	12.6	2.57
Dwight Howard	58	60	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-14	38	13.3	14.1	-0.86	14.3	13.2	1.10
Steve Francis	88	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-1	12	13.1	16.8	-3.76	14.1	12.8	1.27
Cuttino Mobley	42	41	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-8	26	11.5	15.1	-3.67	16.5	12.2	4.34
Jameer Nelson	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	15.4	12.9	2.53	11.8	14.8	-2.95
Hedo Turkoglu	70	69	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	17	-24	15.3	10.5	4.74	12.4	16.8	-4.35
Pat Garrity	47	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.33	-14	24	-38	14.1	13.3	0.86	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Michael Bradley	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	14	-18	23.2	13.3	9.95	10.2	14.0	-3.78
Tony Battie	46	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	20	-30	14.5	13.0	1.50	12.8	14.7	-1.90
Stacey Augmon	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	16	-22	18.0	13.3	4.73	12.9	14.0	-1.09
DeShawn Stevenson	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	15	-20	16.4	13.5	2.92	14.6	13.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SAS 105, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%