NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	76		Excitement	4.7 [894]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +10.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	92		Comeback	1.7 [737]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -18.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	5	43%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	18	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	62%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.03
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	11	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	12	23%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	13	52%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	18	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	7	37%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	28.2	15.7	29.3	0.8	31.3	131.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +27.1%

CHA +11.8%

WAS -1.6%

CHA +16.7%

WAS -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.4	80.0	95.8	104.1
season	15.1	15.6		98.8	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		109.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	13.8	14.5	14.0	14.8
CHA	15.7	16.2	14.3	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Barron	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	10.2	15.3	-5.05	16.4	15.3	1.19
Jan Vesely	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-24	32	13.0	15.3	-2.20	15.8	15.2	0.61
Kevin Seraphin	31	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-18	20	13.0	15.7	-2.66	15.0	15.6	-0.56
Cartier Martin	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-15	14	13.8	15.1	-1.25	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Bradley Beal	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-14	12	16.9	13.2	3.76	15.7	15.1	0.66
Jannero Pargo	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-10	4	11.4	15.7	-4.29	15.5	15.3	0.14
Martell Webster	26	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-9	2	13.5	15.3	-1.72	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Trevor Booker	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-1	-14	16.1	13.1	2.95	15.7	15.0	0.72
A.J. Price	64	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-8	0	15.5	13.3	2.23	15.8	14.5	1.34
Trevor Ariza	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.3	13.5	1.72	15.7	14.6	1.12
Chris Singleton	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-4	-8	13.4	15.3	-1.83	14.2	15.8	-1.66
Jordan Crawford	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-1	-14	13.8	15.7	-1.96	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Emeka Okafor	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	0	-16	16.6	12.6	4.08	15.5	15.2	0.31

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	68	69	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.18	25	-9	34	15.2	15.9	-0.70	15.9	11.8	4.11
Byron Mullens	52	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	6	4	15.1	15.7	-0.67	16.1	13.0	3.11
Ramon Sessions	62	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	5	6	15.4	15.4	0.02	13.9	16.2	-2.31
Brendan Haywood	59	60	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	6	4	15.3	15.5	-0.24	16.3	12.2	4.05
Jeff Taylor	64	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	9	-2	15.4	15.4	-0.02	14.9	14.6	0.25
Tyrus Thomas	44	41	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	10	-4	15.7	15.1	0.67	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Reggie Williams	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	11	-6	15.3	15.4	-0.06	12.0	16.1	-4.08
Bismack Biyombo	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	13	-10	14.6	15.7	-1.06	12.0	16.0	-4.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	52	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	14	-12	14.9	15.9	-0.96	16.3	12.8	3.49
DeSagana Diop	7	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	13	-10	19.3	15.1	4.23	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Cory Higgins	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	18	-20	18.8	14.9	3.90	11.9	15.1	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ORL 76, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SEA 85, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%