NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	76		Excitement	3.7 [1032]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +7.5%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	1.9 [595]		LVP	Derek Harper (ORL): -17.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	81%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Lawson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	1	25%	-0.02	5	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Nick Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Derek Harper	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	61%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	83%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	25	48%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	11	45%	0.01	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	25.6	15.0	21.3	2.4	26.7	115.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +36.2%

ORL -8.3%

CHH +4.1%

CHH +16.6%

CHH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHH	NBA	ORL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.6	80.9	94.7	102.5
season	16.7	15.7		100.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.6	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	15.2	17.4	16.2	15.6
CHH	16.1	15.4	15.4	13.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Lawson	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	16.5	15.5	1.07	13.8	15.2	-1.45
David Benoit	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-15	17	15.9	15.5	0.41	13.2	15.5	-2.34
Mark Price	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-13	13	16.2	15.4	0.74	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Johnny Taylor	40	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-12	11	14.9	16.1	-1.16	14.5	15.4	-0.92
Kevin Ollie	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-12	11	16.2	15.4	0.74	13.3	15.7	-2.37
Nick Anderson	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-5	-3	14.9	16.2	-1.35	16.3	14.0	2.31
Dan Schayes	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	17.0	15.0	2.02	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Derek Strong	66	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	15.0	17.0	-2.02	15.1	14.9	0.24
Gerald Wilkins	34	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-6	-1	16.4	15.2	1.15	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Derek Harper	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	15.0	16.2	-1.12	16.2	13.9	2.38
Horace Grant	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.6	13.2	2.43
Bo Outlaw	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.04	-20	7	-27	16.0	14.8	1.13	14.9	15.3	-0.33

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	80	81	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-2	17	15.0	15.2	-0.23	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Anthony Mason	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-4	21	15.3	14.2	1.12	15.7	15.5	0.21
B.J. Armstrong	50	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-1	15	14.5	15.6	-1.16	15.3	16.0	-0.68
Glen Rice	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	-4	21	15.3	13.8	1.46	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Donald Royal	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	11	-9	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Bobby Phills	50	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	6	1	15.4	14.6	0.85	15.5	15.8	-0.35
J.R. Reid	28	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	11	-9	14.7	15.2	-0.49	16.2	15.3	0.90
Dell Curry	34	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	14	-15	13.7	15.7	-2.01	16.6	15.1	1.53
David Wesley	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	14	-15	15.6	14.5	1.16	16.0	15.3	0.68
Corey Beck	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	13.4	15.2	-1.74	16.3	15.5	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, LAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
POR 89, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 90, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%