NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	7.5 [368]		MVP	CJ Miles (TOR): +46.8%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	2.8 [601]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -11.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.21	0.25	0.00	10	100%	0.47	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	3	86%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04
Jonas Valanciunas	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Malcolm Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	17	56%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Norman Powell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Fred VanVleet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	9	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Delon Wright	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	9	26%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.06	0.04	12	80%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	19	53%	0.13	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.14	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	8	31%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	29.2	14.8	30.0	2.8	37.0	143.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.0%

TOR +3.0%

WAS -3.4%

TOR +34.1%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	14.7	113.3	105.6	107.5
season	14.6	14.8		112.7	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.2	15.1	17.3	16.7	16.3
WAS	15.1	17.6	15.4	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	55	55	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-13	33	15.8	17.1	-1.30	15.5	15.9	-0.34
CJ Miles	37	37	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-11	29	16.9	15.9	1.01	15.8	15.6	0.27
Jakob Poeltl	41	40	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	3	1	17.0	15.8	1.16	16.0	15.4	0.58
Kyle Lowry	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	9	-11	15.8	17.6	-1.87	15.0	17.2	-2.21
DeMar DeRozan	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	9	-11	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.5	19.0	-4.47
Lucas Nogueira	15	14	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	-7	21	12.6	17.1	-4.47	16.6	15.5	1.06
Pascal Siakam	43	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.14	13	-6	19	16.0	16.6	-0.62	16.3	15.0	1.30
Malcolm Miller	13	12	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	1	5	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.2	15.6	0.66
Delon Wright	18	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	3	1	17.2	16.1	1.12	19.8	14.7	5.04
Serge Ibaka	35	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	20	-33	17.1	15.8	1.30	15.9	15.5	0.34
Jonas Valanciunas	34	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	18	-29	17.2	15.8	1.42	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Norman Powell	31	31	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.21	-16	23	-39	17.4	15.8	1.62	16.0	15.5	0.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	47	44	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.24	11	-18	29	15.9	15.4	0.50	17.1	15.6	1.50
Tim Frazier	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-2	-3	16.1	15.5	0.61	17.8	15.8	1.98
Ian Mahinmi	23	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	1	-9	15.7	15.7	0.02	17.2	16.0	1.27
Jason Smith	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	0	-7	19.6	15.3	4.22	9.3	16.9	-7.63
Mike Scott	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	19.2	14.6	4.58	18.5	15.7	2.80
Jodie Meeks	10	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	17.7	15.4	2.27	13.8	16.7	-2.85
Markieff Morris	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-14	21	15.0	17.1	-2.10	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Bradley Beal	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-13	19	15.3	17.4	-2.06	16.4	16.0	0.39
Otto Porter Jr.	77	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-8	9	14.9	20.3	-5.41	16.3	16.3	0.04
Tomas Satoransky	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-5	3	15.5	16.1	-0.61	15.8	17.8	-1.98
Kelly Oubre Jr.	40	42	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	12	-31	15.6	15.8	-0.19	15.8	16.8	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.31,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.33,0.47,0.11,0.13,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.02,0	91.3%
LAL 90, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.1,0,0	91.2%
SAC 100, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.11,0.15,0.08,0	90.9%