NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	7.3 [412]		MVP	Doug McDermott (DAL): +22.8%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.9 [435]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	8	59%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.04	14	75%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.07	0.04	16	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	66%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	11	23%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	0.00	8	88%	0.28	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	11	79%	0.25	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	10	35%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.05	17	51%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	26.1	14.4	27.0	1.7	43.5	137.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.5%

DAL +1.0%

DAL +4.6%

IND -0.9%

DAL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	16.0	14.7	104.0	111.2	107.5
season	14.8	15.4		108.3	105.3
opponent	14.3	15.0		108.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	14.6	12.3	13.0	13.2
DAL	18.3	16.1	16.0	14.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	70	68	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-17	28	13.4	12.7	0.79	17.2	13.3	3.95
Joe Young	31	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-9	12	12.9	13.4	-0.45	17.1	15.6	1.51
Bojan Bogdanovic	77	77	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-12	18	12.7	15.0	-2.36	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Myles Turner	74	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-11	16	13.2	13.3	-0.09	16.3	15.3	0.94
Victor Oladipo	47	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-9	12	12.2	14.1	-1.90	16.2	15.9	0.24
Glenn Robinson III	44	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	0	-6	14.0	12.6	1.38	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Lance Stephenson	42	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.10	-20	14	-34	13.5	13.0	0.50	14.5	17.2	-2.71
Cory Joseph	76	76	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.36	-12	6	-18	13.5	12.2	1.30	15.7	17.1	-1.35
Domantas Sabonis	34	34	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.13	-20	14	-34	13.6	13.0	0.62	15.5	16.3	-0.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.J. Barea	52	51	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.31	17	-11	28	15.7	16.5	-0.82	14.5	11.9	2.60
Doug McDermott	34	35	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.09	20	-14	34	15.3	16.4	-1.14	13.9	12.9	1.00
Dirk Nowitzki	52	52	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.04	20	-14	34	15.9	16.2	-0.29	13.2	13.2	0.08
Dwight Powell	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-1	8	15.6	17.1	-1.54	12.5	14.8	-2.28
Yogi Ferrell	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-1	8	15.6	16.9	-1.29	12.9	13.8	-0.86
Salah Mejri	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	5	-4	16.3	16.0	0.33	14.2	12.9	1.32
Dennis Smith Jr.	59	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	12	-18	16.2	15.8	0.37	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Maxi Kleber	7	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	14	-22	22.7	15.5	7.19	13.5	13.2	0.31
Wesley Matthews	64	64	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.24	-14	20	-34	16.4	15.3	1.14	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Harrison Barnes	64	64	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.24	-14	20	-34	16.4	15.3	1.14	12.9	13.9	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.67,0.77,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.9,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.61,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
NYK 89, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,1,0.97,1,1	92.4%
PHI 71, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.4%