NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	7.6 [350]		MVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): +26.6%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	1.2 [1171]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -11.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.02	15	71%	0.23	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Alex Len	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	7	58%	0.17	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Devin Booker	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.01	20	57%	0.18	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Marquese Chriss	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	11	54%	0.14	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.05	0.20	-0.02	12	50%	0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.14	0.00	9	75%	0.28	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	-0.01	12	73%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	24	50%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	16	38%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.5	26.4	15.4	24.5	2.3	34.4	128.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -8.6%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +31.5%

UTA +11.3%

UTA +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.1	16.7	14.7	101.0	110.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		102.6	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.3		103.3	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	14.3	13.4	11.7	13.1
UTA	15.0	17.0	17.3	17.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-11	12	13.3	13.0	0.28	18.3	15.2	3.04
Marquese Chriss	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-10	10	12.3	13.7	-1.35	14.8	18.1	-3.30
Tyler Ulis	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	13.2	13.1	0.05	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Troy Daniels	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	12.0	13.5	-1.54	15.2	17.2	-1.98
TJ Warren	40	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-5	0	12.3	13.7	-1.31	18.4	15.3	3.07
Jared Dudley	10	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	18.5	12.5	6.01	16.7	16.7	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	13.1	13.2	-0.05	16.9	16.1	0.82
Devin Booker	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	0	-10	13.5	12.0	1.54	17.1	15.6	1.55
Josh Jackson	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	-5	0	12.8	14.2	-1.44	16.1	18.5	-2.32
Alex Len	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	13.5	11.7	1.72	16.5	17.7	-1.25

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	75	75	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-7	24	16.3	18.2	-1.96	13.4	12.0	1.37
Joe Ingles	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-7	24	16.6	17.2	-0.61	13.4	12.0	1.45
Donovan Mitchell	77	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-4	18	16.4	17.9	-1.50	13.4	11.7	1.78
Royce O'Neale	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	1	8	18.1	12.8	5.33	12.4	15.2	-2.77
Jae Crowder	52	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	1	8	14.4	19.4	-5.06	14.5	11.7	2.81
Raul Neto	26	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	17.3	16.5	0.87	13.2	13.1	0.08
Derrick Favors	64	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	18.3	13.7	4.57	12.5	14.3	-1.76
Jonas Jerebko	26	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	16	-22	15.1	17.3	-2.18	12.6	13.3	-0.73
Alec Burks	19	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	18	-26	17.4	16.5	0.88	11.1	13.6	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.8%
CHI 105, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.7%
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.6%