NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	123		Excitement	4.8 [886]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): +33.9%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.6 [753]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -6.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.22	0.07	-0.06	16	81%	0.34	1	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Tristan Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.03	0.09	16	69%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	29%	-0.08
John Holland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
London Perrantes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	20	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	18	64%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.04	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	11	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	67%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	16	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.3	27.5	14.5	27.2	1.8	27.0	125.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.2%

ATL -1.8%

CLE +5.4%

ATL -6.0%

CLE +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.5	14.7	125.5	108.1	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	14.3	14.5	17.0	14.7
ATL	16.2	13.4	15.5	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	62	64	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-5	26	13.6	16.6	-3.03	15.2	13.3	1.90
Jeff Green	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	-5	26	14.9	14.3	0.61	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Kyle Korver	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	-2	20	14.6	14.9	-0.31	13.7	16.4	-2.68
LeBron James	85	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	14.4	16.9	-2.53	14.9	12.2	2.72
Cedi Osman	79	81	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	12	-8	15.0	13.6	1.36	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Jose Calderon	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	14	-12	14.5	14.8	-0.29	15.9	13.5	2.41
John Holland	27	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	11	-6	17.1	13.8	3.35	13.0	15.1	-2.13
JR Smith	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	12	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.7	14.2	0.57
London Perrantes	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	22.5	14.6	7.94	15.0	14.5	0.49
Ante Zizic	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	22.5	14.6	7.94	15.0	14.5	0.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	53	54	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.02	7	-23	30	15.3	13.6	1.73	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Ersan Ilyasova	55	55	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.21	13	-29	42	14.1	15.0	-0.87	15.3	14.0	1.37
Mike Muscala	28	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-16	16	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.0	15.0	-1.03
Isaiah Taylor	42	43	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-17	18	12.9	15.7	-2.76	16.0	13.7	2.31
Miles Plumlee	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-15	14	15.9	14.0	1.86	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Dennis Schroder	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-9	2	15.1	13.8	1.30	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Tyler Dorsey	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-4	-8	14.1	14.9	-0.72	15.0	14.4	0.55
Malcolm Delaney	46	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	-1	-14	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.1	14.4	0.71
John Collins	42	40	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.13	-25	9	-34	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Dewayne Dedmon	47	46	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.07	-19	3	-22	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.8	14.6	0.19
Taurean Prince	53	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.01	-22	6	-28	15.4	13.5	1.86	13.6	15.9	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.37,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, NOH 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NOH 100, MIN 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%