NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	82		Excitement	2.6 [1237]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +16.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1080]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -5.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	15	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	13	54%	-0.01	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	19	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.01	0.06	11	92%	0.17	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	18	67%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.07	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	12	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	35%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	11	38%	0.02	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	27.3	14.6	23.6	2.4	22.4	120.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.4%

PHI +6.4%

PHI +6.1%

NOP -5.1%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.7	79.6	98.0	107.5
season	13.6	13.9		108.0	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.6		103.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.3	13.8	13.3	11.4	13.5
PHI	11.8	16.2	14.3	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	42	42	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-29	40	13.0	13.8	-0.76	15.7	13.8	1.88
Rajon Rondo	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-17	16	13.8	13.2	0.56	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Cheick Diallo	39	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-23	28	12.2	14.3	-2.16	14.7	14.6	0.08
Ian Clark	46	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-24	30	13.2	13.8	-0.58	15.3	14.0	1.36
Darius Miller	68	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-17	16	12.9	14.6	-1.72	15.4	12.9	2.50
Jrue Holiday	50	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-3	-12	13.6	13.4	0.28	14.2	14.9	-0.70
DeAndre Liggins	42	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-4	-10	13.2	13.7	-0.47	14.8	14.4	0.38
Nikola Mirotic	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.27	-24	6	-30	14.4	12.2	2.17	14.4	14.9	-0.52
E'Twaun Moore	53	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.36	-28	10	-38	14.3	12.6	1.66	13.7	15.5	-1.73
Anthony Davis	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.33	-29	11	-40	13.8	13.0	0.76	13.8	15.7	-1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	49	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.50	33	-15	48	14.1	15.1	-1.05	15.0	12.1	2.87
Ben Simmons	54	55	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-2	22	14.4	14.9	-0.54	13.5	13.5	-0.05
Robert Covington	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-6	30	13.6	15.8	-2.23	14.9	11.9	2.92
Dario Saric	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.53	32	-14	46	13.5	16.4	-2.89	14.4	12.0	2.33
JJ Redick	49	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.38	26	-8	34	14.4	14.8	-0.35	14.8	12.4	2.39
T.J. McConnell	51	53	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.15	9	9	0	13.4	15.8	-2.39	14.0	13.0	1.04
Trevor Booker	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.50	-14	32	-46	16.4	13.5	2.89	12.0	14.4	-2.33
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.49	-14	32	-46	15.9	13.7	2.21	12.2	14.4	-2.29
Justin Anderson	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	18	-18	15.7	14.0	1.64	12.3	14.2	-1.87
Amir Johnson	40	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.26	-8	26	-34	14.1	14.9	-0.75	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Jerryd Bayless	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	29	-40	17.2	14.0	3.17	10.2	14.2	-4.03
Richaun Holmes	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	18.1	14.1	3.98	8.8	14.2	-5.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MEM 95, HOU 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
GSW 91, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%