NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	6.4 [587]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): +19.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Comeback	4.4 [119]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -24.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.01	14	87%	0.28	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.01	6	92%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.08	34	57%	0.11	5	-0.11	8	75%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	15	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ian Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	33%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.02	8	78%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	86%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	13	64%	0.18	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	16	41%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	17	38%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.23	-0.04	-0.02	21	37%	-0.03	9	-0.21	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	28.0	13.7	27.0	0.7	30.3	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +52.9%

OKC -8.1%

OKC -7.7%

NOP +7.1%

NOP +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	13.7	13.8	14.7	108.6	95.2	107.5
season	13.6	14.2		108.0	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		106.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	12.3	13.8	15.5	13.7
OKC	11.6	15.4	14.4	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	80	79	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.01	32	-18	50	13.2	15.1	-1.85	14.1	12.8	1.27
E'Twaun Moore	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-8	30	13.1	14.9	-1.84	14.0	13.3	0.65
Dante Cunningham	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	0	14	13.3	14.8	-1.54	12.9	16.4	-3.41
Anthony Davis	83	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	13.9	12.9	0.96	13.4	15.1	-1.68
Rajon Rondo	76	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	4	6	13.5	14.1	-0.60	13.1	15.5	-2.42
Cheick Diallo	32	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	12	-10	14.6	13.2	1.38	15.9	12.9	2.99
Mike James	9	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	12.4	13.8	-1.34	13.1	13.8	-0.73
Ian Clark	40	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	23	-32	14.5	13.1	1.43	14.3	13.4	0.83
Darius Miller	54	54	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.20	-14	28	-42	14.6	12.7	1.83	14.2	13.3	0.95

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	50	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-19	24	14.4	13.2	1.22	14.2	13.2	0.96
Josh Huestis	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-12	10	16.2	13.2	3.07	14.4	13.5	0.89
Patrick Patterson	26	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-9	4	15.9	13.1	2.82	15.0	13.3	1.70
Terrance Ferguson	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-7	0	12.3	14.2	-1.88	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Steven Adams	81	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-9	4	13.2	15.8	-2.63	14.0	12.3	1.76
Russell Westbrook	81	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	13.0	16.2	-3.12	13.4	14.4	-0.97
Raymond Felton	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	15.7	12.9	2.81	14.4	13.4	1.07
Carmelo Anthony	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	13.2	15.0	-1.76	13.1	15.0	-1.82
Paul George	85	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-3	-8	13.2	16.2	-3.07	13.5	14.4	-0.89
Jerami Grant	51	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	5	-24	14.4	13.1	1.26	13.0	14.3	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.8%
OKC 102, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	93.4%
CLE 107, PHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%