inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 128 Excitement12.9 [8] MVPAnthony Davis (NOP): +66.0%
New Orleans Pelicans 132 Comeback3332.3 [1] LVPDarius Miller (NOP): -14.4%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Holiday0.310,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31-0.000.30-0.021348%0.382-0.07580%-0.11
Lauri Markkanen0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24-0.010.23-0.021248%0.292-0.04580%-0.06
Robin Lopez0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.05-0.041665%0.175-0.072100%0.01
Zach LaVine0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.03-0.011556%0.172-0.084100%0.03
David Nwaba0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.000.00450%0.0200.00450%-0.02
Jerian Grant0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.010.12-0.070.047100%0.286-0.278100%0.08
Ryan Arcidiacono0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0.1,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.09-0.011058%-0.011-0.014100%0.03
Bobby Portis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.02844%0.013-0.052100%0.00
Denzel Valentine-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.08-0.02757%0.053-0.1400%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.660.660.150.520.012363%0.712-0.05875%0.06
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.090.062961%0.275-0.111493%0.09
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.140.14-0.000.14-0.001547%0.171-0.03250%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.02764%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.23,0.17,0.02,0.19,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.04-0.041735%0.102-0.1100%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.01-0.00642%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00314%-0.031-0.041100%0.01
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.130.00333%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.140.01-0.17-0.011048%-0.111-0.031100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game21.21.628.314.526.21.644.51.714.21.817.2172.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.53.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +3.9%
CHI -36.1%
NOP +50.8%
NOP +31.6%
CHI -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHINOPNBACHINOPNBA
this game13.115.214.7104.9106.5107.5
season14.213.6103.2108.0
opponent14.615.0107.0110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI11.914.011.912.914.612.8
NOP15.414.817.411.916.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Mirotic55550.15-0.650.800.24-3-1-212.014.0-2.0714.415.8-1.43
Bobby Portis33320.13-0.630.760.22-3-1-212.413.4-0.9715.015.2-0.20
David Nwaba34340.12-0.620.74-0.035-91412.013.5-1.5214.515.4-0.97
Ryan Arcidiacono109-0.11-0.390.280.04-51-612.413.2-0.7616.015.10.89
Denzel Valentine7880-0.13-0.370.23-0.347-111812.713.8-1.0515.913.91.97
Jerian Grant100103-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.322-6813.312.11.1715.215.10.04
Zach LaVine5554-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-106-1613.412.90.5213.916.2-2.35
Robin Lopez7881-0.640.14-0.79-0.58-2-2013.911.72.2515.714.21.45
Lauri Markkanen8184-0.670.17-0.84-0.55-40-413.711.91.8715.314.90.37
Justin Holiday8688-0.730.23-0.96-0.52-73-1013.212.90.3415.514.41.15

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarcus Cousins1091061.29-0.792.090.9113-92215.215.10.0513.78.84.93
E'Twaun Moore80780.64-0.140.780.466-2814.516.4-1.8413.811.91.86
Jrue Holiday92890.62-0.120.750.485-1615.015.8-0.8113.711.42.34
Darius Miller79770.210.29-0.08-0.0810-61614.716.0-1.2612.813.6-0.87
Anthony Davis94950.100.40-0.290.0422014.118.4-4.3012.814.0-1.21
Jameer Nelson3941-0.140.64-0.79-0.08-26-816.014.81.1611.314.0-2.65
Rajon Rondo3131-0.210.71-0.910.09-1014-2415.615.00.5413.113.1-0.00
Ian Clark3233-0.210.71-0.93-0.2413-215.815.00.8111.413.7-2.34
Dante Cunningham4543-0.310.81-1.11-0.04-913-2217.313.93.3812.113.6-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.28,0.5,0.26,0.25,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 103, BOS 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,085.8%
DET 120, ATL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,085.3%
MIN 105, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,085.1%