NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	5.3 [749]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	5.3 [88]		LVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): -18.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	17	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	21	58%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamison Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	15	52%	0.01	5	-0.10	10	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	7	93%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	4	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	12	41%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	62%	0.02	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	19	44%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	0%	-0.07
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.8	31.2	15.6	26.0	1.8	31.2	135.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +3.9%

IND +14.0%

IND +17.1%

IND +15.9%

BOS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	13.9	15.7	113.2	93.8	100.5
season	16.7	14.4		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	17.1	15.6	19.8	17.0
BOS	13.9	14.2	14.4	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	60	63	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-2	17	18.4	14.3	4.16	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Jamison Brewer	32	30	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	4	5	17.8	16.6	1.20	14.4	13.7	0.70
Metta World Peace	78	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	0	13	16.6	19.5	-2.96	14.4	10.4	4.05
Reggie Miller	61	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	-7	27	15.5	20.0	-4.53	14.3	13.0	1.31
Fred Jones	26	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	12	-11	20.3	15.7	4.68	12.9	14.2	-1.35
Jermaine O'Neal	73	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	0	13	16.4	19.4	-3.05	14.0	13.5	0.50
Austin Croshere	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	15	-17	20.4	15.7	4.69	12.7	14.3	-1.63
Jamaal Tinsley	61	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	11	-9	16.8	17.3	-0.50	13.5	14.9	-1.37
Jeff Foster	39	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	19	-25	14.3	19.0	-4.67	14.3	13.6	0.71

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-23	33	11.8	14.6	-2.87	21.5	15.3	6.23
Chris Mihm	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	10.9	15.2	-4.28	20.8	15.1	5.62
Vin Baker	47	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-2	-9	14.5	13.3	1.27	14.7	19.1	-4.40
Walter McCarty	49	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-11	9	13.3	14.5	-1.27	19.1	14.7	4.40
Ricky Davis	64	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-9	5	13.3	15.1	-1.81	18.1	15.0	3.08
Paul Pierce	62	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	1	-15	14.6	12.5	2.15	15.1	20.4	-5.37
Jiri Welsch	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-1	-11	14.3	13.1	1.24	16.6	17.8	-1.20
Mark Blount	73	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-3	-7	14.6	11.7	2.88	16.4	18.6	-2.21
Mike James	71	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	10	-33	14.6	11.8	2.87	15.3	21.5	-6.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, HOU 71	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
MIL 107, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%
MIA 92, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%